Czech Building Stock: Renovation Wave Scenarios and Potential for CO2 Savings until 2050

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F68407700%3A21720%2F21%3A00350455" target="_blank" >RIV/68407700:21720/21:00350455 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://doi.org/10.3390/en14092455" target="_blank" >https://doi.org/10.3390/en14092455</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/en14092455" target="_blank" >10.3390/en14092455</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Czech Building Stock: Renovation Wave Scenarios and Potential for CO2 Savings until 2050

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

One of the major anthropogenic sources of greenhouse gases is the operation of building stock. Improving its energy efficiency has the potential to significantly contribute to achieving climate change mitigation targets. The purpose of this study was to roughly estimate such potential for the operation of the national building stock of Czechia to steer the national debate on the development of related national plans. The estimation is based on a simplified energy model of the Czech building stock that consists of sub-models of residential and nonresidential building stocks, for which their future energy consumptions, shares of energy carriers and sources, and emission factors were modeled in four scenarios. Uncertainties from the approximation of the emission factors were investigated in a sensitivity analysis. The results showed that the operation of the Czech building stock in 2016 totaled 36.9 Mt CO2, which represented 34.6% of the total national carbon dioxide emissions. The four building stock scenarios could produce reductions in the carbon dioxide emissions of between 28% and 93% by 2050, when also considering on-side production from photovoltaics. The implementation of the most ambitious scenario would represent a drop in national CO2 yearly emissions by 43.2% by 2050 (compared to 2016).

Název v anglickém jazyce

Czech Building Stock: Renovation Wave Scenarios and Potential for CO2 Savings until 2050

Popis výsledku anglicky

One of the major anthropogenic sources of greenhouse gases is the operation of building stock. Improving its energy efficiency has the potential to significantly contribute to achieving climate change mitigation targets. The purpose of this study was to roughly estimate such potential for the operation of the national building stock of Czechia to steer the national debate on the development of related national plans. The estimation is based on a simplified energy model of the Czech building stock that consists of sub-models of residential and nonresidential building stocks, for which their future energy consumptions, shares of energy carriers and sources, and emission factors were modeled in four scenarios. Uncertainties from the approximation of the emission factors were investigated in a sensitivity analysis. The results showed that the operation of the Czech building stock in 2016 totaled 36.9 Mt CO2, which represented 34.6% of the total national carbon dioxide emissions. The four building stock scenarios could produce reductions in the carbon dioxide emissions of between 28% and 93% by 2050, when also considering on-side production from photovoltaics. The implementation of the most ambitious scenario would represent a drop in national CO2 yearly emissions by 43.2% by 2050 (compared to 2016).

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

20704 - Energy and fuels

Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/LTT19022" target="_blank" >LTT19022: Česká účast v Annexu 72 Mezinárodní energetické agentury</a><br>

Návaznosti

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Rok uplatnění

2021

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Energies

ISSN

1996-1073

e-ISSN

1996-1073

Svazek periodika

14

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

9

Stát vydavatele periodika

CH - Švýcarská konfederace

Počet stran výsledku

24

Strana od-do

—

Kód UT WoS článku

000650163800001

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85106421682