Comparison of Success Rate of Numerical Weather Prediction Models with Forecasting System of Convective Precipitation

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F70883521%3A28140%2F16%3A43874393" target="_blank" >RIV/70883521:28140/16:43874393 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-33625-1_28" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-33625-1_28</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-33625-1_28" target="_blank" >10.1007/978-3-319-33625-1_28</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Comparison of Success Rate of Numerical Weather Prediction Models with Forecasting System of Convective Precipitation

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

The aim of this article is to compare a success rate of a chosen nu-merical weather prediction (NWP) models with a forecasting system of convec-tive precipitation based on an analysis of ten historical weather events over the territory of the Zlin Region for the year 2015. This paper is based on a previous article "Evaluation of the accuracy of numerical weather prediction models". The first chapter is a theoretical framework describing the current forecasting systems of convective precipitation, which are selected NWP models and fore-casting system of convective precipitation. This chapter describes the principle of creating predictions and selection of individual NWP models. Furthermore, they are provided with basic information about the prediction of convective precipitation. The second chapter outlines the principles of the methods used for evaluating the success rate of forecast precipitation. In the discussion, results of these methods on selected historical weather situations are published. Finally, the work contains an overview of the most accurate NWP models in compari-son with the forecasting system of convective precipitation. This refined predic-tive information of convective precipitation may be especially useful for the cri-sis management authorities for preventive measures against the occurrence of flash floods.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Comparison of Success Rate of Numerical Weather Prediction Models with Forecasting System of Convective Precipitation

Popis výsledku anglicky

The aim of this article is to compare a success rate of a chosen nu-merical weather prediction (NWP) models with a forecasting system of convec-tive precipitation based on an analysis of ten historical weather events over the territory of the Zlin Region for the year 2015. This paper is based on a previous article "Evaluation of the accuracy of numerical weather prediction models". The first chapter is a theoretical framework describing the current forecasting systems of convective precipitation, which are selected NWP models and fore-casting system of convective precipitation. This chapter describes the principle of creating predictions and selection of individual NWP models. Furthermore, they are provided with basic information about the prediction of convective precipitation. The second chapter outlines the principles of the methods used for evaluating the success rate of forecast precipitation. In the discussion, results of these methods on selected historical weather situations are published. Finally, the work contains an overview of the most accurate NWP models in compari-son with the forecasting system of convective precipitation. This refined predic-tive information of convective precipitation may be especially useful for the cri-sis management authorities for preventive measures against the occurrence of flash floods.

Druh

D - Stať ve sborníku

CEP obor

IN - Informatika

OECD FORD obor

—

Projekt

Výsledek vznikl pri realizaci vícero projektů. Více informací v záložce Projekty.

Návaznosti

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)<br>S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Rok uplatnění

2016

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název statě ve sborníku

Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing

ISBN

—

ISSN

2194-5357

e-ISSN

—

Počet stran výsledku

12

Strana od-do

307-319

Název nakladatele

Springer-Verlag GmbH

Místo vydání

Heidelberg

Místo konání akce

Praha

Datum konání akce

27. 4. 2016

Typ akce podle státní příslušnosti

WRD - Celosvětová akce

Kód UT WoS článku

000385237600028