Research of Prognostic Abilities of Local Model of Controlled Process for Traffic Forecasting

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F75081431%3A_____%2F20%3A00002342" target="_blank" >RIV/75081431:_____/20:00002342 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352146520300624" target="_blank" >https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352146520300624</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Research of Prognostic Abilities of Local Model of Controlled Process for Traffic Forecasting

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

"The problem of traffic forecasting is analyzed. It is shown that the characteristic feature of transport flows is their nonstationarity. Prognostication of traffic by synthesis of local model of controlled process (LMCP) is proposed and the forecasting method is presented. The advantages of LMCP are the simplicity of mathematical apparatus and the possibility of organizing control in conditions of complexity, uncertainty and non-stationarity of the controlled process. The active accumulation of information about the controlled process in the process of LMCP synthesizing allows to reduce the problem of forecasting with known input and output and unknown external influences to the problem of forecasting with known input and output and absence of external influences, regardless of their number. Therefore, the offered method allows real time traffic forecasting, without the need for preliminary accumulation, processing and analysis of large amounts of data. The obtained results can be used to solution of practical problems arising in traffic control, in particular, to increase the throughput of highways, to reduce congestions and accelerate transport flows."

Název v anglickém jazyce

Research of Prognostic Abilities of Local Model of Controlled Process for Traffic Forecasting

Popis výsledku anglicky

"The problem of traffic forecasting is analyzed. It is shown that the characteristic feature of transport flows is their nonstationarity. Prognostication of traffic by synthesis of local model of controlled process (LMCP) is proposed and the forecasting method is presented. The advantages of LMCP are the simplicity of mathematical apparatus and the possibility of organizing control in conditions of complexity, uncertainty and non-stationarity of the controlled process. The active accumulation of information about the controlled process in the process of LMCP synthesizing allows to reduce the problem of forecasting with known input and output and unknown external influences to the problem of forecasting with known input and output and absence of external influences, regardless of their number. Therefore, the offered method allows real time traffic forecasting, without the need for preliminary accumulation, processing and analysis of large amounts of data. The obtained results can be used to solution of practical problems arising in traffic control, in particular, to increase the throughput of highways, to reduce congestions and accelerate transport flows."

Druh

D - Stať ve sborníku

CEP obor

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OECD FORD obor

50703 - Transport planning and social aspects of transport (transport engineering to be 2.1)

Projekt

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Návaznosti

V - Vyzkumna aktivita podporovana z jinych verejnych zdroju

Rok uplatnění

2020

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název statě ve sborníku

Transportation Research Procedia

ISBN

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ISSN

2352-1457

e-ISSN

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Počet stran výsledku

386

Strana od-do

78-85

Název nakladatele

Elsevier B.V., Radarweg 29, 1043 NX Amsterdam, The Netherlands

Místo vydání

Amsterdam, The Netherlands

Místo konání akce

České Budějovice, Czech Republic

Datum konání akce

14. 11. 2019

Typ akce podle státní příslušnosti

EUR - Evropská akce

Kód UT WoS článku

000573715500012