Commentary to Wetter et al. (2014): Limited tree-ring evidence for a 1540 European 'Megadrought'

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F86652079%3A_____%2F15%3A00473409" target="_blank" >RIV/86652079:_____/15:00473409 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-015-1423-1" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-015-1423-1</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-015-1423-1" target="_blank" >10.1007/s10584-015-1423-1</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Commentary to Wetter et al. (2014): Limited tree-ring evidence for a 1540 European 'Megadrought'

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Wetter et al. (2014; hereinafter W14) conclude that western Europe experienced significantly higher temperatures in AD 1540 compared to all other years in the instrumental record, including the summer heat waves of 2003 and 2010 (Schar et al. 2004; Barriopedro et al. 2011). Based on 300+ first-hand documentary weather reports, the authors argue that large parts of Europe were hit by an unprecedented, 11-month-long, 'Megadrought' in 1540 exceeding all recorded and reconstructed levels, and falling outside the probability range of state-of-the-art palaeoclimate model simulations. Despite compiling, transforming and interpreting an exceptional pool of documentary evidence, W14 neglected to systematically analyse the existing collection of European tree ring-based climate reconstructions. An independent comparison of their findings from societal entries against natural proxy archives, however, would have been beneficial. For example, Pauling et al. (2006), already identified low precipitation amounts in 1540 derived mainly from tree-ring analyses, a study not cited in W14. In this reply we look into some of the tree-ring data available back to 1540 and before, and demonstrate that W14's conclusion regarding the inability of natural proxy archives to record climate extremes is not defensible.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Commentary to Wetter et al. (2014): Limited tree-ring evidence for a 1540 European 'Megadrought'

Popis výsledku anglicky

Wetter et al. (2014; hereinafter W14) conclude that western Europe experienced significantly higher temperatures in AD 1540 compared to all other years in the instrumental record, including the summer heat waves of 2003 and 2010 (Schar et al. 2004; Barriopedro et al. 2011). Based on 300+ first-hand documentary weather reports, the authors argue that large parts of Europe were hit by an unprecedented, 11-month-long, 'Megadrought' in 1540 exceeding all recorded and reconstructed levels, and falling outside the probability range of state-of-the-art palaeoclimate model simulations. Despite compiling, transforming and interpreting an exceptional pool of documentary evidence, W14 neglected to systematically analyse the existing collection of European tree ring-based climate reconstructions. An independent comparison of their findings from societal entries against natural proxy archives, however, would have been beneficial. For example, Pauling et al. (2006), already identified low precipitation amounts in 1540 derived mainly from tree-ring analyses, a study not cited in W14. In this reply we look into some of the tree-ring data available back to 1540 and before, and demonstrate that W14's conclusion regarding the inability of natural proxy archives to record climate extremes is not defensible.

Druh

J_x - Nezařazeno - Článek v odborném periodiku (Jimp, Jsc a Jost)

CEP obor

EH - Ekologie – společenstva

OECD FORD obor

—

Projekt

—

Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2015

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Climatic Change

ISSN

0165-0009

e-ISSN

—

Svazek periodika

131

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

2

Stát vydavatele periodika

NL - Nizozemsko

Počet stran výsledku

8

Strana od-do

183-190

Kód UT WoS článku

000357037700001

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-84933673718