Model sensitivity of simulated yield of winter oilseed rape to climate change scenarios in Europe

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F86652079%3A_____%2F21%3A00544717" target="_blank" >RIV/86652079:_____/21:00544717 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S116103012100112X?via%3Dihub#" target="_blank" >https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S116103012100112X?via%3Dihub#</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2021.126341" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.eja.2021.126341</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Model sensitivity of simulated yield of winter oilseed rape to climate change scenarios in Europe

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Winter oilseed rape (WOSR) is Europe's prime oilseed crop and is grown for biofuel and edible oil production. To investigate the effects of climate change on the yield of winter oilseed rape, two crop models (HERMES and HUME-OSR) were used. This study investigated the sensitivity of crop model parameters (as a proxy of plant traits) under climate change. For both models, a global sensitivity analysis was performed under current temperatures, an increase of 2 and 4 degrees C, in combination with50 %,25 %, current, +25 % and +50 % precipitation change, resulting in 15 combinations. The analysis was done for six different sites in Europe located in Germany, France, and the Czech Republic. The two models differ in model formalism, however, results show that the most sensitive parameters of WOSR for both models are associated with drought, both under current climatic conditions, and under changing temperatures and precipitation regimes. The sensitivity analysis shows that the most sensitive parameters for WOSR yield under climate change relate to plant traits affecting the growth of the vegetative phase.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Model sensitivity of simulated yield of winter oilseed rape to climate change scenarios in Europe

Popis výsledku anglicky

Winter oilseed rape (WOSR) is Europe's prime oilseed crop and is grown for biofuel and edible oil production. To investigate the effects of climate change on the yield of winter oilseed rape, two crop models (HERMES and HUME-OSR) were used. This study investigated the sensitivity of crop model parameters (as a proxy of plant traits) under climate change. For both models, a global sensitivity analysis was performed under current temperatures, an increase of 2 and 4 degrees C, in combination with50 %,25 %, current, +25 % and +50 % precipitation change, resulting in 15 combinations. The analysis was done for six different sites in Europe located in Germany, France, and the Czech Republic. The two models differ in model formalism, however, results show that the most sensitive parameters of WOSR for both models are associated with drought, both under current climatic conditions, and under changing temperatures and precipitation regimes. The sensitivity analysis shows that the most sensitive parameters for WOSR yield under climate change relate to plant traits affecting the growth of the vegetative phase.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

40101 - Agriculture

Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/EF16_019%2F0000797" target="_blank" >EF16_019/0000797: SustES - Adaptační strategie pro udržitelnost ekosystémových služeb a potravinové bezpečnosti v nepříznivých přírodních podmínkách</a><br>

Návaznosti

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Rok uplatnění

2021

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

European Journal of Agronomy

ISSN

1161-0301

e-ISSN

1873-7331

Svazek periodika

129

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

SEP

Stát vydavatele periodika

FR - Francouzská republika

Počet stran výsledku

10

Strana od-do

126341

Kód UT WoS článku

000672763400004

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85109081392