No evidence for persistent natural plague reservoirs in historical and modern Europe

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F86652079%3A_____%2F22%3A00569995" target="_blank" >RIV/86652079:_____/22:00569995 - isvavai.cz</a>

Nalezeny alternativní kódy

RIV/00216224:14310/22:00128931

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://www.pnas.org/doi/epdf/10.1073/pnas.2209816119" target="_blank" >https://www.pnas.org/doi/epdf/10.1073/pnas.2209816119</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2209816119" target="_blank" >10.1073/pnas.2209816119</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

No evidence for persistent natural plague reservoirs in historical and modern Europe

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Caused by Yersinia pestis, plague ravaged the world through three known pandemics: the First or the Justinianic (6th–8th century), the Second (beginning with the Black Death during c.1338–1353 and lasting until the 19th century), and the Third (which became global in 1894). It is debatable whether Y. pestis persisted in European wildlife reservoirs or was repeatedly introduced from outside Europe (as covered by European Union and the British Isles). Here, we analyze environmental data (soil characteristics and climate) from active Chinese plague reservoirs to assess whether such environmental conditions in Europe had ever supported “natural plague reservoirs”. We have used new statistical methods which are validated through predicting the presence of modern plague reservoirs in the western United States. We find no support for persistent natural plague reservoirs in either historical or modern Europe. Two factors make Europe unfavorable for long-term plague reservoirs: 1) Soil texture and biochemistry and 2) low rodent diversity. By comparing rodent communities in Europe with those in China and the United States, we conclude that a lack of suitable host species might be the main reason for the absence of plague reservoirs in Europe today. These findings support the hypothesis that long-term plague reservoirs did not exist in Europe and therefore question the importance of wildlife rodent species as the primary plague hosts in Europe.

Název v anglickém jazyce

No evidence for persistent natural plague reservoirs in historical and modern Europe

Popis výsledku anglicky

Caused by Yersinia pestis, plague ravaged the world through three known pandemics: the First or the Justinianic (6th–8th century), the Second (beginning with the Black Death during c.1338–1353 and lasting until the 19th century), and the Third (which became global in 1894). It is debatable whether Y. pestis persisted in European wildlife reservoirs or was repeatedly introduced from outside Europe (as covered by European Union and the British Isles). Here, we analyze environmental data (soil characteristics and climate) from active Chinese plague reservoirs to assess whether such environmental conditions in Europe had ever supported “natural plague reservoirs”. We have used new statistical methods which are validated through predicting the presence of modern plague reservoirs in the western United States. We find no support for persistent natural plague reservoirs in either historical or modern Europe. Two factors make Europe unfavorable for long-term plague reservoirs: 1) Soil texture and biochemistry and 2) low rodent diversity. By comparing rodent communities in Europe with those in China and the United States, we conclude that a lack of suitable host species might be the main reason for the absence of plague reservoirs in Europe today. These findings support the hypothesis that long-term plague reservoirs did not exist in Europe and therefore question the importance of wildlife rodent species as the primary plague hosts in Europe.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

30303 - Infectious Diseases

Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/EF16_019%2F0000797" target="_blank" >EF16_019/0000797: SustES - Adaptační strategie pro udržitelnost ekosystémových služeb a potravinové bezpečnosti v nepříznivých přírodních podmínkách</a><br>

Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2022

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America

ISSN

0027-8424

e-ISSN

—

Svazek periodika

119

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

51

Stát vydavatele periodika

US - Spojené státy americké

Počet stran výsledku

8

Strana od-do

e2209816119

Kód UT WoS článku

000944703500010

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85143993362