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Efficiency and risk control in decision making

Project goals

The project deals with portfolio (in)efficiency with respect to stochastic dominance criteria and mean-risk models. New measures of second-order stochastic dominance (SSD) portfolio efficiency (inefficiency) and first-order stochastic dominance (FSD) portfolio admissibility (inadmissibility) will be defined. These measures will be based on distance from efficient frontier and/or they will be consistent with expected utility theory. Evaluating algorithms for these measures will be derived. Theoretical properties of these measures will be analysed. New, computationally less demanding, FSD and/or SSD portfolio eficiency tests will be introduced. As the main goal of project, new optimization problem with SSD efficiency constraints will be suggested and itsstability with respect to changes of scenarios will be explored. These new problems allow for stochastic dominance and mean-risk criteria synthesis and can be seen as a generalization of both approaches. All theoretical results will be applied to data from finantial markets.

Keywords

Efficiencyriskcontrolstochasticdominance

Public support

  • Provider

    Czech Science Foundation

  • Programme

    Standard projects

  • Call for proposals

    Standardní projekty 15 (SGA02012GA-ST)

  • Main participants

  • Contest type

    VS - Public tender

  • Contract ID

    P402-12-0558

Alternative language

  • Project name in Czech

    Eficience a řízení rizika při rozhodování

  • Annotation in Czech

    Projekt se zabývá eficiencí portfolia vzhledem ke stochastické dominanci a mean-risk modelům. Budou navrženy nové míry (ne)eficience vzhledem ke stochastické dominanci prvého a druhého řádu. Tyto míry budou založeny na vzdálenosti od hranice eficientníchportfolií a/nebo budou konzistentní s teorií očekávaného užitku. Budou odvozeny algoritmy pro výpočet těchto měr a budou analyzovány jejich teoretické vlastnosti. Nové, výpočetně rychlejší, FSD a/nebo SSD testy eficience portfolia budou odvozeny. Hlavním cílem tohoto projektu je formulace nových optimalizačních úloh na množině eficientních portfolií a analýza stability vzhledem ke změně scénářů těchto úloh. Nové úlohy umožňují spojení stochastické dominance a mean-risk kritérií. Tato syntéza zobecňujeoba uvedené přístupy. Teoretické výsledky budou aplikovány na data z finančních trhů.

Scientific branches

  • R&D category

    ZV - Basic research

  • CEP classification - main branch

    BB - Applied statistics, operational research

  • CEP - secondary branch

  • CEP - another secondary branch

  • 10103 - Statistics and probability

Completed project evaluation

  • Provider evaluation

    U - Uspěl podle zadání (s publikovanými či patentovanými výsledky atd.)

  • Project results evaluation

    Developing the notion of second (or even nth)-order stochastic dominance in portfolio theory is a justified research direction. so, the project contribution is without dispute. Information on research results is adequate. The number of peer-reviewed publications is above the upper bound given in the proposal. A poor estimate of travel expenses is acceptable in view of th number of written papers.

Solution timeline

  • Realization period - beginning

    Jan 1, 2012

  • Realization period - end

    Dec 31, 2014

  • Project status

    U - Finished project

  • Latest support payment

    Apr 18, 2014

Data delivery to CEP

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

  • Data delivery code

    CEP15-GA0-GA-U/01:1

  • Data delivery date

    May 22, 2015

Finance

  • Total approved costs

    2,391 thou. CZK

  • Public financial support

    2,391 thou. CZK

  • Other public sources

    0 thou. CZK

  • Non public and foreign sources

    0 thou. CZK

Basic information

Recognised costs

2 391 CZK thou.

Public support

2 391 CZK thou.

100%


Provider

Czech Science Foundation

CEP

BB - Applied statistics, operational research

Solution period

01. 01. 2012 - 31. 12. 2014