FOOD SECURITY IN CRISIS SITUATIONS: FOCUS ON BEEF, PORK AND POULTRY MEAT

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00027251%3A_____%2F18%3AN0000008" target="_blank" >RIV/00027251:_____/18:N0000008 - isvavai.cz</a>

Result on the web

<a href="https://ap.pef.czu.cz/en/r-12193-conference-proceedings" target="_blank" >https://ap.pef.czu.cz/en/r-12193-conference-proceedings</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Result language

angličtina

Original language name

FOOD SECURITY IN CRISIS SITUATIONS: FOCUS ON BEEF, PORK AND POULTRY MEAT

Original language description

Food security lies in effort to provide to population such resources of agricultural raw materials with transformation to food, that consumption habits are maintained. The aim of the paper is to assess the height of domestic production to preserve current consumption structure of beef, pork and poultry in the Czech Republic (CR) and not to overcome production possibilities in crisis if imports, exports or both are limited or impossible. The development is simulated by optimization model AGRO-2014 that links agriculture, food industry, trade and food consumption. Five scenarios were calculated. In case of a crisis where imports are eliminated, and exports kept at the current level (scenario 1), the level of domestic resources would be exceeded. The need for areas for growing not only feed crops exceeds the land in the CR by 66%. Therefore, scenario 2 – crisis when import and export are impossible – was considered. Even in this case, the Czech area would not be sufficient. In scenario 3, imports are limited to 20% of current levels and the country does not export. Then the land area would be sufficient. It would require less sucker cows, but significantly more pigs and poultry. Scenario 4 (where imports are possible from 50% while export is on 50% level) needs slightly more cattle but pork could be partly imported. The increase in land claims would exceed available by 20%. Optimal use of land would occur in scenario 5 with imports on 50% level and exports reduced to 18%. It is problematic to increase the export of agricultural commodities while reducing imports. In the case of pork, it would be necessary to increase the number of pigs to cover domestic consumption and exports to the extent that it would be impossible to provide enough grain feed due to lack of available land.

Czech name

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Czech description

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Type

D - Article in proceedings

CEP classification

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OECD FORD branch

50204 - Business and management

Project

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Continuities

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Publication year

2018

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Article name in the collection

27th International Scientific Conference Agrarian Perspectives XXVII. Food Safety – Food Security

ISBN

978-80-213-2890-7

ISSN

2464-4781

e-ISSN

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Number of pages

7

Pages from-to

44-50

Publisher name

Česká zemědělská univerzita, Provozně-ekonomická fakulta

Place of publication

Praha

Event location

Praha

Event date

Sep 19, 2018

Type of event by nationality

WRD - Celosvětová akce

UT code for WoS article

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