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Prediction of overdispersed count data using real-time cluster-based discretization of explanatory variables

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F67985556%3A_____%2F23%3A00569490" target="_blank" >RIV/67985556:_____/23:00569490 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Alternative codes found

    RIV/68407700:21260/23:00364216

  • Result on the web

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-26474-0_9" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-26474-0_9</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-26474-0_9" target="_blank" >10.1007/978-3-031-26474-0_9</a>

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Prediction of overdispersed count data using real-time cluster-based discretization of explanatory variables

  • Original language description

    The chapter focuses on the description of the relationship of the count variable and explanatory Gaussian variables. The cluster-based model is proposed, which is constructed on conditionally independent Gaussian clusters captured in real time using recursive algorithms of the Bayesian mixture estimation theory. The resulting model is expected to be used for predicting count data using real time Gaussian observations. The Poisson distribution of the count data is used as a basic model. However, in reality, count data often do not satisfy the Poisson assumption of equal mean and variance. For this case, five cluster-based Poisson-related models of overdispersed data have been studied. The experimental part of the chapter demonstrates a comparison of the prediction accuracy of the considered models with two theoretical counterparts for the case of weak and strong overdispersion with the help of simulations. The paper reports that the most accurate prediction in average has been provided by the cluster-based Generalized Poisson models.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    C - Chapter in a specialist book

  • CEP classification

  • OECD FORD branch

    10103 - Statistics and probability

Result continuities

  • Project

    <a href="/en/project/8A19009" target="_blank" >8A19009: Arrowhead Tools for Engineering of Digitalisation Solutions</a><br>

  • Continuities

    I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Others

  • Publication year

    2023

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Book/collection name

    Informatics in Control, Automation and Robotics. ICINCO 2021 : Revised Selected Papers

  • ISBN

    978-3-031-26474-0

  • Number of pages of the result

    22

  • Pages from-to

    163-184

  • Number of pages of the book

    209

  • Publisher name

    Springer

  • Place of publication

    Cham

  • UT code for WoS chapter