A cohort perspective on the fertility postponement transition and low fertility in Central Europe

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216208%3A11310%2F18%3A10381745" target="_blank" >RIV/00216208:11310/18:10381745 - isvavai.cz</a>

Nalezeny alternativní kódy

RIV/00216224:14210/18:00103119

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://doi.org/10.2478/mgr-2018-0009" target="_blank" >https://doi.org/10.2478/mgr-2018-0009</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.2478/mgr-2018-0009" target="_blank" >10.2478/mgr-2018-0009</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

A cohort perspective on the fertility postponement transition and low fertility in Central Europe

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Fertility postponement and the concomitant decline in fertility levels are the most prominent trends in the demographic behaviours of the former Eastern Bloc countries in Central Europe. A number of studies have analysed period fertility development but the cohort perspective is often neglected. The postponement transition has evolved over a long time span and affected many cohorts, so the cohort approach is appropriate for studying long-term changes in fertility tempo and quantum. A cohort analysis engenders an analysis in detail of the onset, dynamics and ultimate extent of this process. Using the cohort benchmark model, we have been able to pinpoint differences in postponement and, recuperation levels and, have combined it with projection scenarios. Thus we have been able to model the hypothetical trajectory of the completed cohort fertility rate. Our analysis highlights differences in the timing of the onset of the postponement transition, its trajectory and extent, as welt as in the recuperation of postponed childbearing. These findings suggest differences in completed fertility across the selected four Central European countries are likely to continue and perhaps increase.

Název v anglickém jazyce

A cohort perspective on the fertility postponement transition and low fertility in Central Europe

Popis výsledku anglicky

Fertility postponement and the concomitant decline in fertility levels are the most prominent trends in the demographic behaviours of the former Eastern Bloc countries in Central Europe. A number of studies have analysed period fertility development but the cohort perspective is often neglected. The postponement transition has evolved over a long time span and affected many cohorts, so the cohort approach is appropriate for studying long-term changes in fertility tempo and quantum. A cohort analysis engenders an analysis in detail of the onset, dynamics and ultimate extent of this process. Using the cohort benchmark model, we have been able to pinpoint differences in postponement and, recuperation levels and, have combined it with projection scenarios. Thus we have been able to model the hypothetical trajectory of the completed cohort fertility rate. Our analysis highlights differences in the timing of the onset of the postponement transition, its trajectory and extent, as welt as in the recuperation of postponed childbearing. These findings suggest differences in completed fertility across the selected four Central European countries are likely to continue and perhaps increase.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

50402 - Demography

Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/GA15-09443S" target="_blank" >GA15-09443S: Rizika odkladu rodičovství: Nová role rodinné politiky?</a><br>

Návaznosti

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Rok uplatnění

2018

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Moravian Geographical Reports

ISSN

1210-8812

e-ISSN

—

Svazek periodika

26

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

2

Stát vydavatele periodika

CZ - Česká republika

Počet stran výsledku

12

Strana od-do

109-120

Kód UT WoS článku

000436774900003

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85049783799