Impacts of Urban Expansion on Terrestrial Carbon Storage in China
Identifikátory výsledku
Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216224%3A14230%2F19%3A00127775" target="_blank" >RIV/00216224:14230/19:00127775 - isvavai.cz</a>
Výsledek na webu
<a href="https://pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/acs.est.9b00103" target="_blank" >https://pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/acs.est.9b00103</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.9b00103" target="_blank" >10.1021/acs.est.9b00103</a>
Alternativní jazyky
Jazyk výsledku
angličtina
Název v původním jazyce
Impacts of Urban Expansion on Terrestrial Carbon Storage in China
Popis výsledku v původním jazyce
Urban expansion is one of the main factors driving terrestrial carbon storage (TCS) changes. Accurate accounting of TCS and rigorous quantification of its changes caused by historical urban expansion may help us to better predict its changes in the future. This study focuses on the carbon impacts of urbanization in China where the share of the urban population has increased from 18% in 1978 to 59% in 2017 and the growing will continue in the coming decades. Our results show that China’s TCS decreased at an accelerating pace over the past three decades with an average reduction of 0.72TgC/y in 1980–1990 and 8.72TgC/y in 2000–2010, mostly due to conversion from cropland and woodland to urban land. Through simulating urban expansion under four scenarios from 2010 to 2050, we found a potential increasing trend in land conversion from woodland to urban land. This conversion trend would result in carbon storage loss at an average rate of 9.31TgC/y ∼ 12.94TgC/y in 2010–2050. The increasing trend in both land conversion and carbon storage loss is especially visible in the population centers of the Yangtze River Delta and the Pearl River Delta. Considering that the indirect emission effects of urbanization, such as farmland displacement, population migration, and land degradation, may be much larger, the overall emission impact of forthcoming urban expansion in China would increase the uncertainty of the nation’s carbon emissions and potentially undermine China’s targets as committed in the Paris Climate Agreement.
Název v anglickém jazyce
Impacts of Urban Expansion on Terrestrial Carbon Storage in China
Popis výsledku anglicky
Urban expansion is one of the main factors driving terrestrial carbon storage (TCS) changes. Accurate accounting of TCS and rigorous quantification of its changes caused by historical urban expansion may help us to better predict its changes in the future. This study focuses on the carbon impacts of urbanization in China where the share of the urban population has increased from 18% in 1978 to 59% in 2017 and the growing will continue in the coming decades. Our results show that China’s TCS decreased at an accelerating pace over the past three decades with an average reduction of 0.72TgC/y in 1980–1990 and 8.72TgC/y in 2000–2010, mostly due to conversion from cropland and woodland to urban land. Through simulating urban expansion under four scenarios from 2010 to 2050, we found a potential increasing trend in land conversion from woodland to urban land. This conversion trend would result in carbon storage loss at an average rate of 9.31TgC/y ∼ 12.94TgC/y in 2010–2050. The increasing trend in both land conversion and carbon storage loss is especially visible in the population centers of the Yangtze River Delta and the Pearl River Delta. Considering that the indirect emission effects of urbanization, such as farmland displacement, population migration, and land degradation, may be much larger, the overall emission impact of forthcoming urban expansion in China would increase the uncertainty of the nation’s carbon emissions and potentially undermine China’s targets as committed in the Paris Climate Agreement.
Klasifikace
Druh
J<sub>imp</sub> - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science
CEP obor
—
OECD FORD obor
50704 - Environmental sciences (social aspects)
Návaznosti výsledku
Projekt
—
Návaznosti
I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace
Ostatní
Rok uplatnění
2019
Kód důvěrnosti údajů
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Údaje specifické pro druh výsledku
Název periodika
Environmental Science and Technology
ISSN
0013-936X
e-ISSN
—
Svazek periodika
53
Číslo periodika v rámci svazku
12
Stát vydavatele periodika
US - Spojené státy americké
Počet stran výsledku
11
Strana od-do
6834-6844
Kód UT WoS článku
000472682900026
EID výsledku v databázi Scopus
2-s2.0-85066433974