From Duverger to the Seat Product : Seeking a Pattern in Experts’ Evaluation of Electoral Systems

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216224%3A14230%2F21%3A00120526" target="_blank" >RIV/00216224:14230/21:00120526 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/17457289.2019.1697880" target="_blank" >https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/17457289.2019.1697880</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2019.1697880" target="_blank" >10.1080/17457289.2019.1697880</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

From Duverger to the Seat Product : Seeking a Pattern in Experts’ Evaluation of Electoral Systems

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Widely influential Duverger’s “law” and “hypothesis” describe the main direction of influence of electoral rules on party systems, however, their formulations are quite blurry what makes their application to concrete electoral results often ambiguous. Therefore, this research conducted an original survey among electoral experts (n=131) to explore whether they apply Duverger’s rule in a consistent pattern which could lead to its less ambiguous specification. Experts’ responses revealed a considerable heterogeneity which indicates that they are often unsure about the likely outcomes of electoral systems. Nevertheless, experts were on average close to the central tendency predicted by the Seat Product Models (Taagepera, 2007) which quantifies the Duverger’s rule. Hence, experts on average think that election outcomes should look like what Seat Product Models predict. Therefore, the Models should be used as a baseline in electoral studies, because they allow more fine-grained evaluation of electoral systems.

Název v anglickém jazyce

From Duverger to the Seat Product : Seeking a Pattern in Experts’ Evaluation of Electoral Systems

Popis výsledku anglicky

Widely influential Duverger’s “law” and “hypothesis” describe the main direction of influence of electoral rules on party systems, however, their formulations are quite blurry what makes their application to concrete electoral results often ambiguous. Therefore, this research conducted an original survey among electoral experts (n=131) to explore whether they apply Duverger’s rule in a consistent pattern which could lead to its less ambiguous specification. Experts’ responses revealed a considerable heterogeneity which indicates that they are often unsure about the likely outcomes of electoral systems. Nevertheless, experts were on average close to the central tendency predicted by the Seat Product Models (Taagepera, 2007) which quantifies the Duverger’s rule. Hence, experts on average think that election outcomes should look like what Seat Product Models predict. Therefore, the Models should be used as a baseline in electoral studies, because they allow more fine-grained evaluation of electoral systems.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

50601 - Political science

Projekt

—

Návaznosti

S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Rok uplatnění

2021

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties

ISSN

1745-7289

e-ISSN

1745-7297

Svazek periodika

31

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

3

Stát vydavatele periodika

GB - Spojené království Velké Británie a Severního Irska

Počet stran výsledku

15

Strana od-do

408-422

Kód UT WoS článku

000500382500001

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85075925164