Applying P-splines for mortality rates in the Czech Republic

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216275%3A25410%2F14%3A39898367" target="_blank" >RIV/00216275:25410/14:39898367 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

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DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Applying P-splines for mortality rates in the Czech Republic

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Many important classes of liability in life insurance business are sensitive to the direction of future mortality trends. Therefore the prediction of future mortality rates is an issue of fundamental importance for insurance companies. The Lee-Carter model became one of the most applied models and it is used in different countries around the world to forecast age-specific death rates. The main goal of this paper is to apply the method of P-splines to the smoothing and forecasting of two-dimensional mortality tables for the population in the Czech Republic. We use data on males deaths and exposures for the Czech Republic from the Human Mortality Database. We write the code associated with model in R. Many models of mortality can be fitted simply and flexibly with standard statistical software. However, for actuaries the fitting of a model is usually only the first step and the main purpose is the forecasting of mortality. Forecasting is part of the R-package as well. Probability stateme

Název v anglickém jazyce

Applying P-splines for mortality rates in the Czech Republic

Popis výsledku anglicky

Many important classes of liability in life insurance business are sensitive to the direction of future mortality trends. Therefore the prediction of future mortality rates is an issue of fundamental importance for insurance companies. The Lee-Carter model became one of the most applied models and it is used in different countries around the world to forecast age-specific death rates. The main goal of this paper is to apply the method of P-splines to the smoothing and forecasting of two-dimensional mortality tables for the population in the Czech Republic. We use data on males deaths and exposures for the Czech Republic from the Human Mortality Database. We write the code associated with model in R. Many models of mortality can be fitted simply and flexibly with standard statistical software. However, for actuaries the fitting of a model is usually only the first step and the main purpose is the forecasting of mortality. Forecasting is part of the R-package as well. Probability stateme

Druh

D - Stať ve sborníku

CEP obor

BB - Aplikovaná statistika, operační výzkum

OECD FORD obor

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Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/EE2.3.30.0058" target="_blank" >EE2.3.30.0058: Rozvoj kvalitních vědeckovýzkumných týmů na Univerzitě Pardubice</a><br>

Návaznosti

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Rok uplatnění

2014

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název statě ve sborníku

Proceedings of the 11th International Scientific Conference European Financial Systems 2014

ISBN

978-80-210-7153-7

ISSN

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e-ISSN

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Počet stran výsledku

9

Strana od-do

191-199

Název nakladatele

Masarykova univerzita

Místo vydání

Brno

Místo konání akce

Lednice

Datum konání akce

12. 6. 2014

Typ akce podle státní příslušnosti

EUR - Evropská akce

Kód UT WoS článku

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