OBVIOUS AND HIDDEN FEATURES OF CORPORATE DEFAULT IN BANKRUPTCY MODELS

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216275%3A25410%2F19%3A39915055" target="_blank" >RIV/00216275:25410/19:39915055 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://journals.vgtu.lt/index.php/JBEM/article/view/9612/8410" target="_blank" >https://journals.vgtu.lt/index.php/JBEM/article/view/9612/8410</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.3846/jbem.2019.9612" target="_blank" >10.3846/jbem.2019.9612</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

OBVIOUS AND HIDDEN FEATURES OF CORPORATE DEFAULT IN BANKRUPTCY MODELS

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

The aim of this article is to prove the key role of the structure of the research sample used for accuracy determining on the accuracy of bankruptcy models. The creators of these models report the accuracy usually in the range of 60 to 90%. The authors of this article claim that these values are inaccurate and misleading. The real I. type error should be detected on a sample where obvious features of financial default were eliminated. The research tested more than 1200 of thriving businesses and also 270 businesses in future bankruptcy. The research has determined real current accuracy of selected three bankruptcy models on the standard sample of Czech businesses amounting 67.77%, 62.27% and 74.36%. This confirmed hypothesis no. 1, which says that actual accuracy of bankruptcy model is lower than original accuracy indicated by model makers. An accuracy of 58.70%, 61.59% and 65.94% was measured on a sample where businesses with obvious features of financial distress were eliminated. Due to the modification of the test sample, the order of accuracy has changed. This confirmed hypothesis no. 2. The Index of Karas and Reznakova reached the highest overall accuracy of 80.31% including incorrect prediction of bankruptcy also.

Název v anglickém jazyce

OBVIOUS AND HIDDEN FEATURES OF CORPORATE DEFAULT IN BANKRUPTCY MODELS

Popis výsledku anglicky

The aim of this article is to prove the key role of the structure of the research sample used for accuracy determining on the accuracy of bankruptcy models. The creators of these models report the accuracy usually in the range of 60 to 90%. The authors of this article claim that these values are inaccurate and misleading. The real I. type error should be detected on a sample where obvious features of financial default were eliminated. The research tested more than 1200 of thriving businesses and also 270 businesses in future bankruptcy. The research has determined real current accuracy of selected three bankruptcy models on the standard sample of Czech businesses amounting 67.77%, 62.27% and 74.36%. This confirmed hypothesis no. 1, which says that actual accuracy of bankruptcy model is lower than original accuracy indicated by model makers. An accuracy of 58.70%, 61.59% and 65.94% was measured on a sample where businesses with obvious features of financial distress were eliminated. Due to the modification of the test sample, the order of accuracy has changed. This confirmed hypothesis no. 2. The Index of Karas and Reznakova reached the highest overall accuracy of 80.31% including incorrect prediction of bankruptcy also.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

50202 - Applied Economics, Econometrics

Projekt

—

Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2019

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Journal of Business Economics and Management

ISSN

1611-1699

e-ISSN

—

Svazek periodika

20

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

2

Stát vydavatele periodika

GB - Spojené království Velké Británie a Severního Irska

Počet stran výsledku

16

Strana od-do

368-383

Kód UT WoS článku

000463614700009

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85066451116