Product backorder prediction using deep neural network on imbalanced data

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

RIV/00216275:25410/23:39920846 - isvavai.cz

Výsledek na webu

https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00207543.2021.1901153

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

10.1080/00207543.2021.1901153

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Product backorder prediction using deep neural network on imbalanced data

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Taking backorders on products is a common scenario in inventory and supply chain management systems. The ability to predict the likelihood of backorders can surely minimise a company's losses. Because the number of backorders is much lower than the number of orders that ship on time, applying a predictive model for this domain is a challenging task. This paper proposes a model that uses a deep neural network to predict backorders; it handles the data imbalance between backorders and filled orders with efficient techniques. To make the dataset balanced, we employ different techniques that include minority class weight boosting, randomised oversampling, SMOTE oversampling, and a combination of oversampling and undersampling. The balanced training data are used in our proposed, fully connected deep neural networks model to train the predictive model. The predictive model learns the likelihood of product backorders by using the training samples. We conduct experiments on a large benchmark dataset to test the performance of our proposed deep neural network-based model. The experimental results achieve a new state-of-the-art performance and outperform some prominent classification models in terms of standard evaluation metrics and expected profit measure.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Product backorder prediction using deep neural network on imbalanced data

Popis výsledku anglicky

Taking backorders on products is a common scenario in inventory and supply chain management systems. The ability to predict the likelihood of backorders can surely minimise a company's losses. Because the number of backorders is much lower than the number of orders that ship on time, applying a predictive model for this domain is a challenging task. This paper proposes a model that uses a deep neural network to predict backorders; it handles the data imbalance between backorders and filled orders with efficient techniques. To make the dataset balanced, we employ different techniques that include minority class weight boosting, randomised oversampling, SMOTE oversampling, and a combination of oversampling and undersampling. The balanced training data are used in our proposed, fully connected deep neural networks model to train the predictive model. The predictive model learns the likelihood of product backorders by using the training samples. We conduct experiments on a large benchmark dataset to test the performance of our proposed deep neural network-based model. The experimental results achieve a new state-of-the-art performance and outperform some prominent classification models in terms of standard evaluation metrics and expected profit measure.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

50204 - Business and management

Projekt

GA19-15498S: Modelování emocí ve verbální a neverbální manažerské komunikaci pro predikci podnikových finančních rizik

Návaznosti

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Rok uplatnění

2023

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

International journal of production research

ISSN

0020-7543

e-ISSN

1366-588X

Svazek periodika

61

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

1

Stát vydavatele periodika

GB - Spojené království Velké Británie a Severního Irska

Počet stran výsledku

18

Strana od-do

302-319

Kód UT WoS článku

000631418900001

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85102925635