Estimation of the J-curve Effect in the Bilateral Trade of Hungary

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F47813059%3A19520%2F13%3A%230002267" target="_blank" >RIV/47813059:19520/13:#0002267 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="http://www.ekf.vsb.cz/cerei/cs/cisla/vol16num3/content/" target="_blank" >http://www.ekf.vsb.cz/cerei/cs/cisla/vol16num3/content/</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

—

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Estimation of the J-curve Effect in the Bilateral Trade of Hungary

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Resulting in a J-curve pattern, the devaluation or depreciation of a currency worsens the trade balance before improving it. The aim of the paper is to investigate the J-curve effect in bilateral trade flows between Hungary and its major trading partners: Germany, Austria, Italy, France, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, Poland and the Czech Republic. This paper explores the J-curve effect using quarterly data over the period 1997-2012. We include bilateral export and import flows, GDP and nominal bilateral exchange rates in the models. We employ a Johansen cointegration test to analyse the long run relationship between variables. The short run effects and related J-curve effect are explored by estimating an error correction model and by assessing impulse response functions. A typical J-curve effect is detected in bilateral trade flows with the United Kingdom. In trade flows with Austria and Italy, a partial J-curve can be observed. In bilateral trade with the Czech Republic, we exp

Název v anglickém jazyce

Estimation of the J-curve Effect in the Bilateral Trade of Hungary

Popis výsledku anglicky

Resulting in a J-curve pattern, the devaluation or depreciation of a currency worsens the trade balance before improving it. The aim of the paper is to investigate the J-curve effect in bilateral trade flows between Hungary and its major trading partners: Germany, Austria, Italy, France, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, Poland and the Czech Republic. This paper explores the J-curve effect using quarterly data over the period 1997-2012. We include bilateral export and import flows, GDP and nominal bilateral exchange rates in the models. We employ a Johansen cointegration test to analyse the long run relationship between variables. The short run effects and related J-curve effect are explored by estimating an error correction model and by assessing impulse response functions. A typical J-curve effect is detected in bilateral trade flows with the United Kingdom. In trade flows with Austria and Italy, a partial J-curve can be observed. In bilateral trade with the Czech Republic, we exp

Druh

J_x - Nezařazeno - Článek v odborném periodiku (Jimp, Jsc a Jost)

CEP obor

AH - Ekonomie

OECD FORD obor

—

Projekt

—

Návaznosti

S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Rok uplatnění

2013

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Ekonomická revue

ISSN

1212-3951

e-ISSN

—

Svazek periodika

16

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

3

Stát vydavatele periodika

CZ - Česká republika

Počet stran výsledku

9

Strana od-do

183-191

Kód UT WoS článku

—

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

—