Assessing the Potential of a Terrorist Attack at the Sub-national Level: An Option of Local Governments

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60162694%3AG42__%2F26%3A00566055" target="_blank" >RIV/60162694:G42__/26:00566055 - isvavai.cz</a>

Nalezeny alternativní kódy

RIV/00216224:14230/25:00142861 RIV/00216275:25410/25:39922942

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://politickevedy.fpvmv.umb.sk/29806/assessing-the-potential-of-a-terrorist-attack-at-the-sub-national-level-an-option-of-local-governme" target="_blank" >https://politickevedy.fpvmv.umb.sk/29806/assessing-the-potential-of-a-terrorist-attack-at-the-sub-national-level-an-option-of-local-governme</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.24040/politickevedy.2025.28.2.37-58" target="_blank" >10.24040/politickevedy.2025.28.2.37-58</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Assessing the Potential of a Terrorist Attack at the Sub-national Level: An Option of Local Governments

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Terrorist threats in the European Union have increasingly highlighted the vulnerability of critical infrastructure and soft targets, with local governments playing a key role in public safety. The objective of this study was to design and test a simple methodology for assessing terrorist risk at the sub-national level. A two-step model was applied. First, soft targets were identified through qualitative analysis of legislative and scientific sources. Second, geospatial and statistical data were used to evaluate the concentration of these targets and their time-dependent vulnerability. The methodology was tested in the Czech Republic, where municipalities and regions represent a fragmented security environment. The model incorporated endogenous factors such as population size and service capacity, as well as exogenous factors such as tourism intensity. The findings showed that large cities, including Prague and Brno, had the highest risk potential, but smaller municipalities with strong tourism or cultural functions, such as & Ccaron;esk & yacute; Krumlov and spa towns, also reached elevated scores. The study concluded that the proposed model provided a practical and transferable tool for prioritizing protection measures. It offered guidance for municipal and regional authorities and supported European security federalism.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Assessing the Potential of a Terrorist Attack at the Sub-national Level: An Option of Local Governments

Popis výsledku anglicky

Terrorist threats in the European Union have increasingly highlighted the vulnerability of critical infrastructure and soft targets, with local governments playing a key role in public safety. The objective of this study was to design and test a simple methodology for assessing terrorist risk at the sub-national level. A two-step model was applied. First, soft targets were identified through qualitative analysis of legislative and scientific sources. Second, geospatial and statistical data were used to evaluate the concentration of these targets and their time-dependent vulnerability. The methodology was tested in the Czech Republic, where municipalities and regions represent a fragmented security environment. The model incorporated endogenous factors such as population size and service capacity, as well as exogenous factors such as tourism intensity. The findings showed that large cities, including Prague and Brno, had the highest risk potential, but smaller municipalities with strong tourism or cultural functions, such as & Ccaron;esk & yacute; Krumlov and spa towns, also reached elevated scores. The study concluded that the proposed model provided a practical and transferable tool for prioritizing protection measures. It offered guidance for municipal and regional authorities and supported European security federalism.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

50601 - Political science

Projekt

—

Návaznosti

V - Vyzkumna aktivita podporovana z jinych verejnych zdroju

Rok uplatnění

2025

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

POLITICKE VEDY

ISSN

1335-2741

e-ISSN

1338-5623

Svazek periodika

28

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

2

Stát vydavatele periodika

SK - Slovenská republika

Počet stran výsledku

23

Strana od-do

37-58

Kód UT WoS článku

001621643700002

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

—