Ensuring food sovereignty and nutritional sustainability in Egypt

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60460709%3A41110%2F24%3A101658" target="_blank" >RIV/60460709:41110/24:101658 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://www.cell.com/heliyon/fulltext/S2405-8440(24)16038-0" target="_blank" >https://www.cell.com/heliyon/fulltext/S2405-8440(24)16038-0</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e40007" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e40007</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Ensuring food sovereignty and nutritional sustainability in Egypt

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Understanding Egypt’s dependence on wheat imports is crucial for enhancing food security andeconomic stability. This study aims to identify the extent of Egypt’s wheat import dependencyand recommend measures for increasing food self-sufficiency. We employed index analysis and aneconometric model to analyze data sourced from the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO),Observatory of Economic Complexity (OEC), Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), World Bank(WB), and Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). Quantitative andqualitative indicators of wheat production and consumption were examined. Key findings includethat Egypt’s food insecurity levels remain unchanged, and the country faces threats from risingglobal food prices, low-quality agricultural land, and climate change, which is expected to reducecereal yields by 6–15 %. Econometric analysis revealed that a 1 % increase in population growthand protein intake results in a 1.09 % and 3.63 % increase in wheat imports, respectively, while a1 % increase in wheat consumption leads to a 0.87 % decrease in wheat imports. These findingssuggest the need for Egypt to diversify its agriculture by adopting less water-intensive crops andimproving irrigation efficiency. Future research should explore non-linear models, recent data,and qualitative factors to build on these insights and further inform policy development.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Ensuring food sovereignty and nutritional sustainability in Egypt

Popis výsledku anglicky

Understanding Egypt’s dependence on wheat imports is crucial for enhancing food security andeconomic stability. This study aims to identify the extent of Egypt’s wheat import dependencyand recommend measures for increasing food self-sufficiency. We employed index analysis and aneconometric model to analyze data sourced from the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO),Observatory of Economic Complexity (OEC), Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), World Bank(WB), and Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). Quantitative andqualitative indicators of wheat production and consumption were examined. Key findings includethat Egypt’s food insecurity levels remain unchanged, and the country faces threats from risingglobal food prices, low-quality agricultural land, and climate change, which is expected to reducecereal yields by 6–15 %. Econometric analysis revealed that a 1 % increase in population growthand protein intake results in a 1.09 % and 3.63 % increase in wheat imports, respectively, while a1 % increase in wheat consumption leads to a 0.87 % decrease in wheat imports. These findingssuggest the need for Egypt to diversify its agriculture by adopting less water-intensive crops andimproving irrigation efficiency. Future research should explore non-linear models, recent data,and qualitative factors to build on these insights and further inform policy development.

Druh

J_SC - Článek v periodiku v databázi SCOPUS

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

50701 - Cultural and economic geography

Projekt

—

Návaznosti

S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Rok uplatnění

2024

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Heliyon

ISSN

2405-8440

e-ISSN

2405-8440

Svazek periodika

10

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

24

Stát vydavatele periodika

US - Spojené státy americké

Počet stran výsledku

20

Strana od-do

1-20

Kód UT WoS článku

—

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85211993456