The future distribution of river fish: The complex interplay of climate and land use changes, species dispersal and movement barriers

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60460709%3A41210%2F17%3A74798" target="_blank" >RIV/60460709:41210/17:74798 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13760" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13760</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13760" target="_blank" >10.1111/gcb.13760</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

The future distribution of river fish: The complex interplay of climate and land use changes, species dispersal and movement barriers

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

The future distribution of river fishes will be jointly affected by climate and land use changes forcing species to move in space. However, little is known whether fish species will be able to keep pace with predicted climate and land use-driven habitat shifts, in particular in fragmented river networks. In this study, we coupled species distribution models (stepwise boosted regression trees) of 17 fish species with species-specific models of their dispersal (fish dispersal model FIDIMO) in the European River Elbe catchment. We quantified (i) the extent and direction (up-vs. downstream) of predicted habitat shifts under coupled moderate and severe climate and land use change scenarios for 2050, and (ii) the dispersal abilities of fishes to track predicted habitat shifts while explicitly considering movement barriers (e.g., weirs, dams). Our results revealed median net losses of suitable habitats of 24 and 94 river kilometers per species for the moderate and severe future scenarios, respectively. Pred

Název v anglickém jazyce

The future distribution of river fish: The complex interplay of climate and land use changes, species dispersal and movement barriers

Popis výsledku anglicky

The future distribution of river fishes will be jointly affected by climate and land use changes forcing species to move in space. However, little is known whether fish species will be able to keep pace with predicted climate and land use-driven habitat shifts, in particular in fragmented river networks. In this study, we coupled species distribution models (stepwise boosted regression trees) of 17 fish species with species-specific models of their dispersal (fish dispersal model FIDIMO) in the European River Elbe catchment. We quantified (i) the extent and direction (up-vs. downstream) of predicted habitat shifts under coupled moderate and severe climate and land use change scenarios for 2050, and (ii) the dispersal abilities of fishes to track predicted habitat shifts while explicitly considering movement barriers (e.g., weirs, dams). Our results revealed median net losses of suitable habitats of 24 and 94 river kilometers per species for the moderate and severe future scenarios, respectively. Pred

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

40103 - Fishery

Projekt

—

Návaznosti

S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Rok uplatnění

2017

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY

ISSN

1354-1013

e-ISSN

—

Svazek periodika

23

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

11

Stát vydavatele periodika

CZ - Česká republika

Počet stran výsledku

17

Strana od-do

4970-4986

Kód UT WoS článku

000412322700043

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85020448944