Future climate of the Carpathians: climate change hot-spots and implications for ecosystems

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60460709%3A41320%2F16%3A73041" target="_blank" >RIV/60460709:41320/16:73041 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10113-015-0890-2" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10113-015-0890-2</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10113-015-0890-2" target="_blank" >10.1007/s10113-015-0890-2</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Future climate of the Carpathians: climate change hot-spots and implications for ecosystems

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

The Carpathians are the largest European mountain range and harbour exceptional biodiversity. However, recent and anticipated changes in climate along with rapid social and economic development suggest that the region s values may not be sustained. We strived to identify the main regional climate change hot-spots and evaluate the distribution of climatically exposed land-use types and ecosystems. The analysis was based on 10 climate models driven by the emission scenario A1B. To identify the hot-spots, we adopted a methodology based on change trajectories in a multidimensional climate space. Three hot-spots were in the Western Carpathians (Czech Republic, Slovakia, and Hungary), two were in Ukraine, and three were in the Romanian and Serbian Carpathians. Regions with the highest aggregate climate exposure (i. e. above 70 % of the regional range) were mostly covered by broadleaved forests (39 %), agricultural land (30 %), and pastures and woodlands (15 %). These regions also contained 15 % of protecte

Název v anglickém jazyce

Future climate of the Carpathians: climate change hot-spots and implications for ecosystems

Popis výsledku anglicky

The Carpathians are the largest European mountain range and harbour exceptional biodiversity. However, recent and anticipated changes in climate along with rapid social and economic development suggest that the region s values may not be sustained. We strived to identify the main regional climate change hot-spots and evaluate the distribution of climatically exposed land-use types and ecosystems. The analysis was based on 10 climate models driven by the emission scenario A1B. To identify the hot-spots, we adopted a methodology based on change trajectories in a multidimensional climate space. Three hot-spots were in the Western Carpathians (Czech Republic, Slovakia, and Hungary), two were in Ukraine, and three were in the Romanian and Serbian Carpathians. Regions with the highest aggregate climate exposure (i. e. above 70 % of the regional range) were mostly covered by broadleaved forests (39 %), agricultural land (30 %), and pastures and woodlands (15 %). These regions also contained 15 % of protecte

Druh

J_x - Nezařazeno - Článek v odborném periodiku (Jimp, Jsc a Jost)

CEP obor

DG - Vědy o atmosféře, meteorologie

OECD FORD obor

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Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/QJ1220316" target="_blank" >QJ1220316: Hodnocení očekávaných změn v růstu a mortalitě lesních porostů, dopadů na produkční funkci lesů ČR a návrh adaptační stratégie</a><br>

Návaznosti

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Rok uplatnění

2016

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Regional Environmental Change

ISSN

1436-3798

e-ISSN

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Svazek periodika

16

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

5

Stát vydavatele periodika

CZ - Česká republika

Počet stran výsledku

12

Strana od-do

1495-1506

Kód UT WoS článku

000376314400021

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

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