Assisted tree migration can preserve the European forest carbon sink under climate change

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60460709%3A41320%2F24%3A100428" target="_blank" >RIV/60460709:41320/24:100428 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02080-5" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02080-5</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02080-5" target="_blank" >10.1038/s41558-024-02080-5</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Assisted tree migration can preserve the European forest carbon sink under climate change

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Climate change threatens the role of European forests as a long-term carbon sink. Assisted migration aims to increase the resilience of forest tree populations to climate change, using species-specific climatic limits and local adaptations through transferring seed provenances. We modelled assisted migration scenarios for seven main European tree species and analysed the effects of species and seed provenance selection, accounting for environmental and genetic variations, on the annual above-ground carbon sink of regrowing juvenile forests. To increase forest resilience, coniferous trees need to be replaced by deciduous species over large parts of their distribution. If local seed provenances are used, this would result in a decrease of the current carbon sink (40 TgC yr-1) by 34-41% by 2061-2080. However, if seed provenances adapted to future climates are used, current sinks could be maintained or even increased to 48-60 TgC yr-1. Assisted migration is the artificial movement of species and populations to increase forest resilience. Here the authors model how targeted assisted migration can preserve or enhance the European forest carbon sink under future climate scenarios.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Assisted tree migration can preserve the European forest carbon sink under climate change

Popis výsledku anglicky

Climate change threatens the role of European forests as a long-term carbon sink. Assisted migration aims to increase the resilience of forest tree populations to climate change, using species-specific climatic limits and local adaptations through transferring seed provenances. We modelled assisted migration scenarios for seven main European tree species and analysed the effects of species and seed provenance selection, accounting for environmental and genetic variations, on the annual above-ground carbon sink of regrowing juvenile forests. To increase forest resilience, coniferous trees need to be replaced by deciduous species over large parts of their distribution. If local seed provenances are used, this would result in a decrease of the current carbon sink (40 TgC yr-1) by 34-41% by 2061-2080. However, if seed provenances adapted to future climates are used, current sinks could be maintained or even increased to 48-60 TgC yr-1. Assisted migration is the artificial movement of species and populations to increase forest resilience. Here the authors model how targeted assisted migration can preserve or enhance the European forest carbon sink under future climate scenarios.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

40100 - Agriculture, Forestry, and Fisheries

Projekt

—

Návaznosti

R - Projekt Ramcoveho programu EK

Rok uplatnění

2024

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Nature Climate Change

ISSN

1758-6798

e-ISSN

—

Svazek periodika

14

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

8.0

Stát vydavatele periodika

GB - Spojené království Velké Británie a Severního Irska

Počet stran výsledku

16

Strana od-do

1-16

Kód UT WoS článku

001276021900002

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85199543431