Assisted tree migration can preserve the European forest carbon sink under climate change

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F62156489%3A43410%2F24%3A43925521" target="_blank" >RIV/62156489:43410/24:43925521 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02080-5" target="_blank" >https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02080-5</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02080-5" target="_blank" >10.1038/s41558-024-02080-5</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Assisted tree migration can preserve the European forest carbon sink under climate change

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Climate change threatens the role of European forests as a long-term carbon sink. Assisted migration aims to increase the resilience of forest tree populations to climate change, using species-specific climatic limits and local adaptations through transferring seed provenances. We modelled assisted migration scenarios for seven main European tree species and analysed the effects of species and seed provenance selection, accounting for environmental and genetic variations, on the annual above-ground carbon sink of regrowing juvenile forests. To increase forest resilience, coniferous trees need to be replaced by deciduous species over large parts of their distribution. If local seed provenances are used, this would result in a decrease of the current carbon sink (40 TgC yrMINUS SIGN 1) by 34-41% by 2061-2080. However, if seed provenances adapted to future climates are used, current sinks could be maintained or even increased to 48-60 TgC yrMINUS SIGN 1.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Assisted tree migration can preserve the European forest carbon sink under climate change

Popis výsledku anglicky

Climate change threatens the role of European forests as a long-term carbon sink. Assisted migration aims to increase the resilience of forest tree populations to climate change, using species-specific climatic limits and local adaptations through transferring seed provenances. We modelled assisted migration scenarios for seven main European tree species and analysed the effects of species and seed provenance selection, accounting for environmental and genetic variations, on the annual above-ground carbon sink of regrowing juvenile forests. To increase forest resilience, coniferous trees need to be replaced by deciduous species over large parts of their distribution. If local seed provenances are used, this would result in a decrease of the current carbon sink (40 TgC yrMINUS SIGN 1) by 34-41% by 2061-2080. However, if seed provenances adapted to future climates are used, current sinks could be maintained or even increased to 48-60 TgC yrMINUS SIGN 1.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

40102 - Forestry

Projekt

—

Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2024

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Nature Climate Change

ISSN

1758-678X

e-ISSN

1758-6798

Svazek periodika

14

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

8

Stát vydavatele periodika

GB - Spojené království Velké Británie a Severního Irska

Počet stran výsledku

8

Strana od-do

845-852

Kód UT WoS článku

001276021900002

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85199543431