Multi-model ensemble projections of European river floods and high flows at 1.5, 2, and 3 degree global warming

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60460709%3A41330%2F18%3A75515" target="_blank" >RIV/60460709:41330/18:75515 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa9e35" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa9e35</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa9e35" target="_blank" >10.1088/1748-9326/aa9e35</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Multi-model ensemble projections of European river floods and high flows at 1.5, 2, and 3 degree global warming

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

The impacts are assessed employing a multi-model ensemble containing three hydrologic models (HMs: mHM, Noah-MP, PCR-GLOBWB) forced by five CMIP5 general circulation models (GCMs) under three Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs 2,6, 6,0, and 8,5). This multi-model ensemble is unprecedented with respect to the combination of its size (45 realisations) and its spatial resolution, which is 5 km over the entirety of Europe. The multi-model ensemble points to the Mediterranean region as a hotspot of changes with significant decrements in high flows from -11% at 1,5 K up to -30% at 3 K global warming mainly resulting from reduced precipitation. Small changes (smaller than 10%) are observed for river basins in Central Europe and the British Isles under different levels of warming.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Multi-model ensemble projections of European river floods and high flows at 1.5, 2, and 3 degree global warming

Popis výsledku anglicky

The impacts are assessed employing a multi-model ensemble containing three hydrologic models (HMs: mHM, Noah-MP, PCR-GLOBWB) forced by five CMIP5 general circulation models (GCMs) under three Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs 2,6, 6,0, and 8,5). This multi-model ensemble is unprecedented with respect to the combination of its size (45 realisations) and its spatial resolution, which is 5 km over the entirety of Europe. The multi-model ensemble points to the Mediterranean region as a hotspot of changes with significant decrements in high flows from -11% at 1,5 K up to -30% at 3 K global warming mainly resulting from reduced precipitation. Small changes (smaller than 10%) are observed for river basins in Central Europe and the British Isles under different levels of warming.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

10501 - Hydrology

Projekt

—

Návaznosti

S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Rok uplatnění

2018

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Environmental Research Letters

ISSN

1748-9326

e-ISSN

1748-9326

Svazek periodika

13

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

1

Stát vydavatele periodika

CZ - Česká republika

Počet stran výsledku

11

Strana od-do

1-11

Kód UT WoS článku

000419320100001

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85041182478