Predicting the distribution of European Hop Hornbeam: application of MaxEnt algorithm and climatic suitability models

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60460709%3A41330%2F23%3A97246" target="_blank" >RIV/60460709:41330/23:97246 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10342-023-01543-2" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10342-023-01543-2</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10342-023-01543-2" target="_blank" >10.1007/s10342-023-01543-2</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Predicting the distribution of European Hop Hornbeam: application of MaxEnt algorithm and climatic suitability models

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Ostrya carpinifolia Scop. (European Hop Hornbeam) is a native tree in Europe as a species of the Betulaceae family. European Hop Hornbeam has a significant value for the European flora, and assessing the effects of climate change on habitats of species is essential for its sustainability. With this point of view, the main aim of the research was to predict the present and future potential distribution of European Hop Hornbeam across Europe. ''IPSL-CM6A-LR'' climate change model, ninety-six occurrence data, and seven bioclimatic variables were used to predict potential distribution areas with MaxEnt 3.4.1 program. This study applied a change analysis by comparing the present predicted potential distribution of European Hop Hornbeam with the future predicted potential distribution under the 2041-2060 and 2081-2100 SSP2 4.5 and SSP5 8.5 climate change scenarios. Study results indicated that the sum of suitable and highly suitable areas of European Hop Hornbeam is calculated to be 1,136,706 km(2) for the current potential distribution. On the contrary, 2,107,187 km(2) of highly suitable and suitable areas will be diminished in the worst case by 2100. The most affected bioclimatic variable is BIO 19 (Precipitation of Coldest Quarter), considering the prediction of the species distribution. These findings indicated that the natural ecosystems of the Mediterranean region will shift to northern areas. This study represented a reference for creating a strategy for the protection and conservation of the species in the future.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Predicting the distribution of European Hop Hornbeam: application of MaxEnt algorithm and climatic suitability models

Popis výsledku anglicky

Ostrya carpinifolia Scop. (European Hop Hornbeam) is a native tree in Europe as a species of the Betulaceae family. European Hop Hornbeam has a significant value for the European flora, and assessing the effects of climate change on habitats of species is essential for its sustainability. With this point of view, the main aim of the research was to predict the present and future potential distribution of European Hop Hornbeam across Europe. ''IPSL-CM6A-LR'' climate change model, ninety-six occurrence data, and seven bioclimatic variables were used to predict potential distribution areas with MaxEnt 3.4.1 program. This study applied a change analysis by comparing the present predicted potential distribution of European Hop Hornbeam with the future predicted potential distribution under the 2041-2060 and 2081-2100 SSP2 4.5 and SSP5 8.5 climate change scenarios. Study results indicated that the sum of suitable and highly suitable areas of European Hop Hornbeam is calculated to be 1,136,706 km(2) for the current potential distribution. On the contrary, 2,107,187 km(2) of highly suitable and suitable areas will be diminished in the worst case by 2100. The most affected bioclimatic variable is BIO 19 (Precipitation of Coldest Quarter), considering the prediction of the species distribution. These findings indicated that the natural ecosystems of the Mediterranean region will shift to northern areas. This study represented a reference for creating a strategy for the protection and conservation of the species in the future.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

40102 - Forestry

Projekt

—

Návaznosti

S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Rok uplatnění

2023

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

European Journal of Forest Research

ISSN

1612-4669

e-ISSN

1612-4677

Svazek periodika

142

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

3

Stát vydavatele periodika

DE - Spolková republika Německo

Počet stran výsledku

13

Strana od-do

579-591

Kód UT WoS článku

000956326200001

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85150600720