Electricity Generation in India: Present State, Future Outlook and Policy Implications

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F61989100%3A27730%2F19%3A10242119" target="_blank" >RIV/61989100:27730/19:10242119 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/12/7/1361/pdf" target="_blank" >https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/12/7/1361/pdf</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/en12071361" target="_blank" >10.3390/en12071361</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Electricity Generation in India: Present State, Future Outlook and Policy Implications

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

India is one of the fastest developing countries in the world. To sustain this growth, energy and electricity demands will increase. In 2015, of the 1337 TWh produced, 916 TWh were from fossil fuels. We prepared several models of electricity demand from 2015 to 2030, based on publicly available datasets and trends. Models were tested on data from previous years and adjusted accordingly. From several scenarios, we decided to introduce two possibilities, i.e., a scenario using high energy savings in all sectors, and a scenario counting on a high industrial growth not supported by an equal increase of electricity savings. For both cases we prepared models for extreme situations: (1) where coal- and lignite-based power plants are preferred after slow-down of a renewable energy boom, and (2) with high utilization of renewable energy supported by natural gas and nuclear energy. With GDP and population increasing at the same rate as in previous years, the unambiguous result in all scenarios is a 2 to 3-fold increase of the electricity demand by 2030. On the electricity production side, all scenarios stress the role of coal, renewables and nuclear sources. Both energy and climate policies should be prepared for such a development in advance.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Electricity Generation in India: Present State, Future Outlook and Policy Implications

Popis výsledku anglicky

India is one of the fastest developing countries in the world. To sustain this growth, energy and electricity demands will increase. In 2015, of the 1337 TWh produced, 916 TWh were from fossil fuels. We prepared several models of electricity demand from 2015 to 2030, based on publicly available datasets and trends. Models were tested on data from previous years and adjusted accordingly. From several scenarios, we decided to introduce two possibilities, i.e., a scenario using high energy savings in all sectors, and a scenario counting on a high industrial growth not supported by an equal increase of electricity savings. For both cases we prepared models for extreme situations: (1) where coal- and lignite-based power plants are preferred after slow-down of a renewable energy boom, and (2) with high utilization of renewable energy supported by natural gas and nuclear energy. With GDP and population increasing at the same rate as in previous years, the unambiguous result in all scenarios is a 2 to 3-fold increase of the electricity demand by 2030. On the electricity production side, all scenarios stress the role of coal, renewables and nuclear sources. Both energy and climate policies should be prepared for such a development in advance.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

20704 - Energy and fuels

Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/ED2.1.00%2F19.0389" target="_blank" >ED2.1.00/19.0389: Rozvoj výzkumné infrastruktury Centra ENET</a><br>

Návaznosti

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)<br>S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Rok uplatnění

2019

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Energies

ISSN

1996-1073

e-ISSN

—

Svazek periodika

12

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

7

Stát vydavatele periodika

CH - Švýcarská konfederace

Počet stran výsledku

14

Strana od-do

1361

Kód UT WoS článku

000465561400178

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

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