Adverse weather conditions for European wheat production will become more frequent with climate change

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F62156489%3A43210%2F14%3A00230495" target="_blank" >RIV/62156489:43210/14:00230495 - isvavai.cz</a>

Nalezeny alternativní kódy

RIV/67179843:_____/14:00430075

Výsledek na webu

<a href="http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n7/full/nclimate2242.html" target="_blank" >http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n7/full/nclimate2242.html</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2242" target="_blank" >10.1038/nclimate2242</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Adverse weather conditions for European wheat production will become more frequent with climate change

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Europe is the largest producer of wheat, the second most widely grown cereal crop after rice. The increased occurrence and magnitude of adverse and extreme agroclimatic events are considered a major threat for wheat production. We present an analysis that accounts for a range of adverse weather events that might significantly affect wheat yield in Europe. For this purpose we analysed changes in the frequency of the occurrence of 11 adverse weather events. Using climate scenarios based on the most recentensemble of climate models and greenhouse gases emission estimates, we assessed the probability of single and multiple adverse events occurring within one season. We showed that the occurrence of adverse conditions for 14 sites representing the main European wheat-growing areas might substantially increase by 2060 compared to the present (1981--2010). This is likely to result in more frequent crop failure across Europe. This study provides essential information for developing adaptation

Název v anglickém jazyce

Adverse weather conditions for European wheat production will become more frequent with climate change

Popis výsledku anglicky

Europe is the largest producer of wheat, the second most widely grown cereal crop after rice. The increased occurrence and magnitude of adverse and extreme agroclimatic events are considered a major threat for wheat production. We present an analysis that accounts for a range of adverse weather events that might significantly affect wheat yield in Europe. For this purpose we analysed changes in the frequency of the occurrence of 11 adverse weather events. Using climate scenarios based on the most recentensemble of climate models and greenhouse gases emission estimates, we assessed the probability of single and multiple adverse events occurring within one season. We showed that the occurrence of adverse conditions for 14 sites representing the main European wheat-growing areas might substantially increase by 2060 compared to the present (1981--2010). This is likely to result in more frequent crop failure across Europe. This study provides essential information for developing adaptation

Druh

J_x - Nezařazeno - Článek v odborném periodiku (Jimp, Jsc a Jost)

CEP obor

DG - Vědy o atmosféře, meteorologie

OECD FORD obor

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Projekt

Výsledek vznikl pri realizaci vícero projektů. Více informací v záložce Projekty.

Návaznosti

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Rok uplatnění

2014

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Nature Climate Change

ISSN

1758-678X

e-ISSN

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Svazek periodika

4

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

7

Stát vydavatele periodika

GB - Spojené království Velké Británie a Severního Irska

Počet stran výsledku

7

Strana od-do

637-643

Kód UT WoS článku

338837400032

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

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