Adaptation options for wheat in Europe will be limited by increased adverse weather events under climate change

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F62156489%3A43210%2F15%3A43908124" target="_blank" >RIV/62156489:43210/15:43908124 - isvavai.cz</a>

Nalezeny alternativní kódy

RIV/86652079:_____/16:00463944

Výsledek na webu

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2015.0721" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2015.0721</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2015.0721" target="_blank" >10.1098/rsif.2015.0721</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Adaptation options for wheat in Europe will be limited by increased adverse weather events under climate change

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Ways of increasing the production of wheat, the most widely grown cereal crop, will need to be found to meet the increasing demand caused by human population growth in the coming decades. This increase must occur despite the decrease in yield gains now being reported in some regions, increased price volatility and the expected increase in the frequency of adverse weather events that can reduce yields. However, if and how the frequency of adverse weather events will change over Europe, the most importantwheat-growing area, has not yet been analysed. Here, we show that the accumulated probability of 11 adverse weather events with the potential to significantly reduce yield will increase markedly across all of Europe. We found that by the end of the century, the exposure of the key European wheat-growing areas, where most wheat production is currently concentrated, may increase more than twofold. However, if we consider the entire arable land area of Europe, a greater than threefold incr

Název v anglickém jazyce

Adaptation options for wheat in Europe will be limited by increased adverse weather events under climate change

Popis výsledku anglicky

Ways of increasing the production of wheat, the most widely grown cereal crop, will need to be found to meet the increasing demand caused by human population growth in the coming decades. This increase must occur despite the decrease in yield gains now being reported in some regions, increased price volatility and the expected increase in the frequency of adverse weather events that can reduce yields. However, if and how the frequency of adverse weather events will change over Europe, the most importantwheat-growing area, has not yet been analysed. Here, we show that the accumulated probability of 11 adverse weather events with the potential to significantly reduce yield will increase markedly across all of Europe. We found that by the end of the century, the exposure of the key European wheat-growing areas, where most wheat production is currently concentrated, may increase more than twofold. However, if we consider the entire arable land area of Europe, a greater than threefold incr

Druh

J_x - Nezařazeno - Článek v odborném periodiku (Jimp, Jsc a Jost)

CEP obor

GC - Pěstování rostlin, osevní postupy

OECD FORD obor

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Projekt

—

Návaznosti

S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Rok uplatnění

2015

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Journal of the Royal Society Interface

ISSN

1742-5689

e-ISSN

—

Svazek periodika

12

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

112

Stát vydavatele periodika

GB - Spojené království Velké Británie a Severního Irska

Počet stran výsledku

7

Strana od-do

—

Kód UT WoS článku

000365168200006

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

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