Where Were the Voters? A Spatial Analysis of the 2019 Slovak Presidential Election

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F62156489%3A43310%2F20%3A43919245" target="_blank" >RIV/62156489:43310/20:43919245 - isvavai.cz</a>

Nalezeny alternativní kódy

RIV/00216208:11230/20:10422418 RIV/61989592:15210/20:73605504

Výsledek na webu

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.34135/sjps.200201" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.34135/sjps.200201</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.34135/sjps.200201" target="_blank" >10.34135/sjps.200201</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Where Were the Voters? A Spatial Analysis of the 2019 Slovak Presidential Election

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

This paper endeavours to deliver a comprehensive spatial depiction of Slovakia&apos;s presidential election held on 16th and 30th March 2019. At first, the text briefly considers electoral and institutional framework of presidential elections and its background. Within the context of the first round, the paper subsequently analyses the electoral support of four key candidates who had obtained at least 10 per cent in order to clarify the overall electoral support. At the municipal level, the analysis of aggregated data then brings a complex mapping of regional electoral support towards the presidential candidates. Our negative binomial regression models, based on socio-economic variables and the results of the 2016 parliamentary election, yield no satisfactory results. Nonetheless, among others, it was revealed that the final two contenders did not lose their voters from the previous round. In comparison to Šefčovič, Čaputová succeeded in acquiring lower levels of new electoral support (up to 20 per cent) but across the whole country. Afterwards, the Hungarian minority was proved a determinative factor for the win, contrarily to the socio-economic indicators as explicative variables of which the university degree and age were found the most significant.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Where Were the Voters? A Spatial Analysis of the 2019 Slovak Presidential Election

Popis výsledku anglicky

This paper endeavours to deliver a comprehensive spatial depiction of Slovakia&apos;s presidential election held on 16th and 30th March 2019. At first, the text briefly considers electoral and institutional framework of presidential elections and its background. Within the context of the first round, the paper subsequently analyses the electoral support of four key candidates who had obtained at least 10 per cent in order to clarify the overall electoral support. At the municipal level, the analysis of aggregated data then brings a complex mapping of regional electoral support towards the presidential candidates. Our negative binomial regression models, based on socio-economic variables and the results of the 2016 parliamentary election, yield no satisfactory results. Nonetheless, among others, it was revealed that the final two contenders did not lose their voters from the previous round. In comparison to Šefčovič, Čaputová succeeded in acquiring lower levels of new electoral support (up to 20 per cent) but across the whole country. Afterwards, the Hungarian minority was proved a determinative factor for the win, contrarily to the socio-economic indicators as explicative variables of which the university degree and age were found the most significant.

Druh

J_SC - Článek v periodiku v databázi SCOPUS

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

50601 - Political science

Projekt

—

Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2020

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Slovak Journal of Political Sciences

ISSN

1335-9096

e-ISSN

—

Svazek periodika

20

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

2

Stát vydavatele periodika

SK - Slovenská republika

Počet stran výsledku

30

Strana od-do

176-205

Kód UT WoS článku

—

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85100078080