Statistical Model of Segment-Specific Relationship Between Natural Gas Consumption and Temperature in Daily and Hourly Resolution

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F67985807%3A_____%2F10%3A00348314" target="_blank" >RIV/67985807:_____/10:00348314 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

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DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Statistical Model of Segment-Specific Relationship Between Natural Gas Consumption and Temperature in Daily and Hourly Resolution

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

We describe a statistical model which was developed from first principles and from empirical behavior of real data to characterize the relationship between the consumption of natural gas and temperature in several segments of a typical gas utility company's customer pool. Specifically, we will deal with household and small+medium (HOU+SMC) size commercial customers. The model is suitable for disaggregation of various observed functionals of the observed consumption process into smaller pieces, e.g. disaggregation of sums across both individual customers and time into original components. This amounts to (semiparametric statistical) estimation of the individual pieces and/or subsequent synthesis into other functionals of interest. The model is built asa GAM (generalized additive model) with a nonlinear temperature response and it has quite rich dynamic component. We formulate the model first in generality and then we illustrate its behavior on real data from a large scale project.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Statistical Model of Segment-Specific Relationship Between Natural Gas Consumption and Temperature in Daily and Hourly Resolution

Popis výsledku anglicky

We describe a statistical model which was developed from first principles and from empirical behavior of real data to characterize the relationship between the consumption of natural gas and temperature in several segments of a typical gas utility company's customer pool. Specifically, we will deal with household and small+medium (HOU+SMC) size commercial customers. The model is suitable for disaggregation of various observed functionals of the observed consumption process into smaller pieces, e.g. disaggregation of sums across both individual customers and time into original components. This amounts to (semiparametric statistical) estimation of the individual pieces and/or subsequent synthesis into other functionals of interest. The model is built asa GAM (generalized additive model) with a nonlinear temperature response and it has quite rich dynamic component. We formulate the model first in generality and then we illustrate its behavior on real data from a large scale project.

Druh

C - Kapitola v odborné knize

CEP obor

JE - Nejaderná energetika, spotřeba a užití energie

OECD FORD obor

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Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/1ET400300513" target="_blank" >1ET400300513: Matematické modelování spotřeby zemního plynu zákazníků s malým a středním odběrem</a><br>

Návaznosti

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)<br>Z - Vyzkumny zamer (s odkazem do CEZ)<br>I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2010

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název knihy nebo sborníku

Natural Gas

ISBN

978-953-307-112-1

Počet stran výsledku

24

Strana od-do

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Počet stran knihy

606

Název nakladatele

Sciyo

Místo vydání

Rijeka

Kód UT WoS kapitoly

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