Horizon scanning of potential invasive alien plant species and their distribution in Norway under a changing climate

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F67985939%3A_____%2F25%3A00643257" target="_blank" >RIV/67985939:_____/25:00643257 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://doi.org/10.1002/ecog.07604" target="_blank" >https://doi.org/10.1002/ecog.07604</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ecog.07604" target="_blank" >10.1002/ecog.07604</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Horizon scanning of potential invasive alien plant species and their distribution in Norway under a changing climate

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Invasive alien plants cause major ecological, economic, and social impacts, and their numbers will likely rise with globalisation and climate change. Preventing their introduction is the most cost-effective way to protect Norway’s ecosystems. We developed a new horizon-scanning method to identify high-risk alien plant species not yet present in Norway but likely to become invasive. Starting with 16 866 naturalised species worldwide, we assessed their climate match with Norway and used impact data to refine the list. Species distribution models predicted potential ranges under current and future (2060–2080) climates. We identified 265 high-risk species, currently limited to southeastern and coastal Norway but expanding northwards and inland under future conditions. Invasion hotspots were near urban areas such as Oslo, already highly invaded globally. We recommend strict monitoring or import restrictions of these species and present a broadly applicable horizon-scanning method focused on climate matching.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Horizon scanning of potential invasive alien plant species and their distribution in Norway under a changing climate

Popis výsledku anglicky

Invasive alien plants cause major ecological, economic, and social impacts, and their numbers will likely rise with globalisation and climate change. Preventing their introduction is the most cost-effective way to protect Norway’s ecosystems. We developed a new horizon-scanning method to identify high-risk alien plant species not yet present in Norway but likely to become invasive. Starting with 16 866 naturalised species worldwide, we assessed their climate match with Norway and used impact data to refine the list. Species distribution models predicted potential ranges under current and future (2060–2080) climates. We identified 265 high-risk species, currently limited to southeastern and coastal Norway but expanding northwards and inland under future conditions. Invasion hotspots were near urban areas such as Oslo, already highly invaded globally. We recommend strict monitoring or import restrictions of these species and present a broadly applicable horizon-scanning method focused on climate matching.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

10618 - Ecology

Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/GX19-28807X" target="_blank" >GX19-28807X: Makroekologie rostlinných invazí: význam stanovišť a globální syntéza (SynHab)</a><br>

Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2025

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Ecography

ISSN

0906-7590

e-ISSN

1600-0587

Svazek periodika

2025

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

8

Stát vydavatele periodika

US - Spojené státy americké

Počet stran výsledku

15

Strana od-do

e07604

Kód UT WoS článku

001471666400001

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-105003243690