Safeguarding cultural heritage from climate change related hydrometeorological hazards in Central Europe

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F68378297%3A_____%2F21%3A00545109" target="_blank" >RIV/68378297:_____/21:00545109 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102455" target="_blank" >https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102455</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102455" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102455</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Safeguarding cultural heritage from climate change related hydrometeorological hazards in Central Europe

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

This paper presents a method for contributing to risk assessment of cultural heritage exposed to hydrometeorological extreme events linked to climate change. The methodology adopted involves the development of hazard maps at territorial level, based on outputs from climate models, and the vulnerability assessment at building scale, underlying on physical and managerial criticalities of built heritage. Results are discussed for two pilot sites highly susceptible to flooding impacting large areas: Prague - Troja (CZ) and Krems - Stein (AT). Outcomes include climate projections of changes of the extreme precipitation index R5xday with spatial resolution of ~12 km for the near and far future (2021–2050, 2071–2100), under two different scenarios (stabilizing and pessimistic). A general increase of Rx5day in the investigated areas in the far future under the pessimistic scenario is foreseen, highlighting a high likelihood of flooding risk. Furthermore, it is determined that the buildings selected in the pilot areas present a high degree of vulnerability, mainly due to a lack of a maintenance plan and a significant susceptibility of the structures to water impact. Therefore preparedness turns out to be a crucial step in the management of the sites for enhancing their resilience to calamitous events.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Safeguarding cultural heritage from climate change related hydrometeorological hazards in Central Europe

Popis výsledku anglicky

This paper presents a method for contributing to risk assessment of cultural heritage exposed to hydrometeorological extreme events linked to climate change. The methodology adopted involves the development of hazard maps at territorial level, based on outputs from climate models, and the vulnerability assessment at building scale, underlying on physical and managerial criticalities of built heritage. Results are discussed for two pilot sites highly susceptible to flooding impacting large areas: Prague - Troja (CZ) and Krems - Stein (AT). Outcomes include climate projections of changes of the extreme precipitation index R5xday with spatial resolution of ~12 km for the near and far future (2021–2050, 2071–2100), under two different scenarios (stabilizing and pessimistic). A general increase of Rx5day in the investigated areas in the far future under the pessimistic scenario is foreseen, highlighting a high likelihood of flooding risk. Furthermore, it is determined that the buildings selected in the pilot areas present a high degree of vulnerability, mainly due to a lack of a maintenance plan and a significant susceptibility of the structures to water impact. Therefore preparedness turns out to be a crucial step in the management of the sites for enhancing their resilience to calamitous events.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

10510 - Climatic research

Projekt

—

Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2021

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction

ISSN

2212-4209

e-ISSN

2212-4209

Svazek periodika

63

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

September

Stát vydavatele periodika

NL - Nizozemsko

Počet stran výsledku

20

Strana od-do

102455

Kód UT WoS článku

000687421100001

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85110554715