Impacts of the war on prices of Ukrainian wheat
Identifikátory výsledku
Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F75081431%3A_____%2F23%3A00002653" target="_blank" >RIV/75081431:_____/23:00002653 - isvavai.cz</a>
Výsledek na webu
<a href="https://agricecon.agriculturejournals.cz/artkey/age-202310-0002_impacts-of-the-war-on-prices-of-ukrainian-wheat.php" target="_blank" >https://agricecon.agriculturejournals.cz/artkey/age-202310-0002_impacts-of-the-war-on-prices-of-ukrainian-wheat.php</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
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Alternativní jazyky
Jazyk výsledku
angličtina
Název v původním jazyce
Impacts of the war on prices of Ukrainian wheat
Popis výsledku v původním jazyce
The Russian-Ukrainian armed conflict significantly affected wheat production and its export from Ukraine, mainly during the war outbreak. Since both countries rank among the major global wheat producers, the warfare dis-rupted wheat supplies, hastily pushing the prices. Based on the analysed data, we carried out research using multilayer perceptron networks. The findings suggest the biggest price increase between February and March 2022, witnessing wheat prices at about 1 400 USD per t. We predict a decline to the pre-war values until the end of 2025, estimating its rates between 600 USD and 800 USD per t. This price slump may involve signing an agreement on unblocking Ukrainian seaports, which would restore wheat exports. Yet, our survey is confined to historical data, which do not suggest any dramatic event that would alarmingly sway wheat prices.
Název v anglickém jazyce
Impacts of the war on prices of Ukrainian wheat
Popis výsledku anglicky
The Russian-Ukrainian armed conflict significantly affected wheat production and its export from Ukraine, mainly during the war outbreak. Since both countries rank among the major global wheat producers, the warfare dis-rupted wheat supplies, hastily pushing the prices. Based on the analysed data, we carried out research using multilayer perceptron networks. The findings suggest the biggest price increase between February and March 2022, witnessing wheat prices at about 1 400 USD per t. We predict a decline to the pre-war values until the end of 2025, estimating its rates between 600 USD and 800 USD per t. This price slump may involve signing an agreement on unblocking Ukrainian seaports, which would restore wheat exports. Yet, our survey is confined to historical data, which do not suggest any dramatic event that would alarmingly sway wheat prices.
Klasifikace
Druh
J<sub>imp</sub> - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science
CEP obor
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OECD FORD obor
50200 - Economics and Business
Návaznosti výsledku
Projekt
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Návaznosti
V - Vyzkumna aktivita podporovana z jinych verejnych zdroju
Ostatní
Rok uplatnění
2023
Kód důvěrnosti údajů
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Údaje specifické pro druh výsledku
Název periodika
AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
ISSN
0139-570X
e-ISSN
1805-9295
Svazek periodika
69
Číslo periodika v rámci svazku
10
Stát vydavatele periodika
CZ - Česká republika
Počet stran výsledku
12
Strana od-do
404-415
Kód UT WoS článku
001092325700003
EID výsledku v databázi Scopus
2-s2.0-85182213361