Understanding flood regime changes in Europe: a state-of-the-art assessment

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F86652079%3A_____%2F14%3A00496500" target="_blank" >RIV/86652079:_____/14:00496500 - isvavai.cz</a>

Nalezeny alternativní kódy

RIV/00216224:14310/14:00073780

Výsledek na webu

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-2735-2014" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-2735-2014</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-2735-2014" target="_blank" >10.5194/hess-18-2735-2014</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Understanding flood regime changes in Europe: a state-of-the-art assessment

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

There is growing concern that flooding is becoming more frequent and severe in Europe. A better understanding of flood regime changes and their drivers is therefore needed. The paper reviews the current knowledge on flood regime changes in European rivers that has traditionally been obtained through two alternative research approaches. The first approach is the data-based detection of changes in observed flood events. Current methods are reviewed together with their challenges and opportunities. For example, observation biases, the merging of different data sources and accounting for nonlinear drivers and responses. The second approach consists of modelled scenarios of future floods. Challenges and opportunities associated with flood change scenarios are discussed such as fully accounting for uncertainties in the modelling cascade and feedbacks. To make progress in flood change research, we suggest that a synthesis of these two approaches is needed. This can be achieved by focusing on long duration records and flood-rich and flood-poor periods rather than on short duration flood trends only, by formally attributing causes of observed flood changes, by validating scenarios against observed flood regime dynamics, and by developing low-dimensional models of flood changes and feedbacks. The paper finishes with a call for a joint European flood change research network.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Understanding flood regime changes in Europe: a state-of-the-art assessment

Popis výsledku anglicky

There is growing concern that flooding is becoming more frequent and severe in Europe. A better understanding of flood regime changes and their drivers is therefore needed. The paper reviews the current knowledge on flood regime changes in European rivers that has traditionally been obtained through two alternative research approaches. The first approach is the data-based detection of changes in observed flood events. Current methods are reviewed together with their challenges and opportunities. For example, observation biases, the merging of different data sources and accounting for nonlinear drivers and responses. The second approach consists of modelled scenarios of future floods. Challenges and opportunities associated with flood change scenarios are discussed such as fully accounting for uncertainties in the modelling cascade and feedbacks. To make progress in flood change research, we suggest that a synthesis of these two approaches is needed. This can be achieved by focusing on long duration records and flood-rich and flood-poor periods rather than on short duration flood trends only, by formally attributing causes of observed flood changes, by validating scenarios against observed flood regime dynamics, and by developing low-dimensional models of flood changes and feedbacks. The paper finishes with a call for a joint European flood change research network.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

10505 - Geology

Projekt

—

Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2014

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences

ISSN

1027-5606

e-ISSN

—

Svazek periodika

18

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

7

Stát vydavatele periodika

DE - Spolková republika Německo

Počet stran výsledku

38

Strana od-do

2735-2772

Kód UT WoS článku

000339896400019

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-84905466575