Collaborative scenario building: Engaging stakeholders to unravel opportunities for urban adaptation planning

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

RIV/86652079:_____/22:00561674 - isvavai.cz

Nalezeny alternativní kódy

RIV/00216208:11240/22:10446650 RIV/60460709:41330/22:91630

Výsledek na webu

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221209552200195X?via%3Dihub

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

10.1016/j.uclim.2022.101277

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Collaborative scenario building: Engaging stakeholders to unravel opportunities for urban adaptation planning

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Uncertainties arising from the climate crisis and socioeconomic challenges require decision makers to advance climate change adaptation planning and practice. In response, many cities have adopted climate change adaptation strategies, which is also the case in the Czech Republic. Although adaptation planning should be prospective, requiring long-term, future-oriented ap-proaches, the use of future scenarios have not been fully acknowledged yet. In this methodo-logical paper, we introduce a combined approach for delivering spatially explicit future land use/ land cover (LULC) scenarios developed as supporting tools for adaptation planning in three major Czech cities-Prague, Brno, and Ostrava. The methodological approach consists of (1) Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) downscaled to city level, to capture underpinning social, envi-ronmental, and economic dynamics, (2) collaborative processes with stakeholders, and (3) computer modelling of LULC scenarios. While collaborative process collects the perceptions of local needs, challenges, and opportunities, spatially explicit modelling of LULC changes allows for an easy-to-read visualization of the plausible futures. Nesting the scenarios in SSPs makes them consistent with global socioeconomic drivers. The introduced methodological approach can support adaptation planning by engaging stakeholders directly in the scenario building process, to elaborate on plausible future urban developments while considering an array of different stakes and challenges.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Collaborative scenario building: Engaging stakeholders to unravel opportunities for urban adaptation planning

Popis výsledku anglicky

Uncertainties arising from the climate crisis and socioeconomic challenges require decision makers to advance climate change adaptation planning and practice. In response, many cities have adopted climate change adaptation strategies, which is also the case in the Czech Republic. Although adaptation planning should be prospective, requiring long-term, future-oriented ap-proaches, the use of future scenarios have not been fully acknowledged yet. In this methodo-logical paper, we introduce a combined approach for delivering spatially explicit future land use/ land cover (LULC) scenarios developed as supporting tools for adaptation planning in three major Czech cities-Prague, Brno, and Ostrava. The methodological approach consists of (1) Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) downscaled to city level, to capture underpinning social, envi-ronmental, and economic dynamics, (2) collaborative processes with stakeholders, and (3) computer modelling of LULC scenarios. While collaborative process collects the perceptions of local needs, challenges, and opportunities, spatially explicit modelling of LULC changes allows for an easy-to-read visualization of the plausible futures. Nesting the scenarios in SSPs makes them consistent with global socioeconomic drivers. The introduced methodological approach can support adaptation planning by engaging stakeholders directly in the scenario building process, to elaborate on plausible future urban developments while considering an array of different stakes and challenges.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

50702 - Urban studies (planning and development)

Projekt

TL01000238: Adaptační výzvy měst: podpora udržitelného plánování s využitím integrované analýzy zranitelnosti

Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2022

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Urban Climate

ISSN

2212-0955

e-ISSN

2212-0955

Svazek periodika

45

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

SEP

Stát vydavatele periodika

NL - Nizozemsko

Počet stran výsledku

20

Strana od-do

101277

Kód UT WoS článku

000857302400001

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85138070996