Climate projections for the Czech Republic based on Euro-CORDEX simulations

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F86652079%3A_____%2F16%3A00470796" target="_blank" >RIV/86652079:_____/16:00470796 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

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DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Climate projections for the Czech Republic based on Euro-CORDEX simulations

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Within the finished CzechAdapt project (www.czechadapt.cz), projections based on the latest climatenmodel simulations were analyzed and a material was prepared to provide input to and support for adaptationnstrategies in various fields (e.g. forestry, agriculture, hydrology). Both GCMs (global climate models)nand RCMs (regional climate models) were analyzed within the project. In this contribution we focus on thenlatest RCMs available from the Euro-CORDEX project based on 0.11 degree resolutions and covering thenEuropean area. For these model experiments, the following greenhouse gas emission scenarios have beennused: RCP 4.5 (milder scenario) and RCP 8.5 (pessimistic scenario). Since the climate models suffer fromnpotentially severe biases, it has been necessary to statistically correct their outputs. For this purpose, a suitablenreference dataset has been prepared, based on quality controlled, homogenized and gap-filled stationntime series. The correction method applied was based on variable corrections using individual percentiles.nFrom the corrected model outputs, various indices were calculated, describing the future climate both inntime and space. The outputs can serve as a basis for subsequent impact studies.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Climate projections for the Czech Republic based on Euro-CORDEX simulations

Popis výsledku anglicky

Within the finished CzechAdapt project (www.czechadapt.cz), projections based on the latest climatenmodel simulations were analyzed and a material was prepared to provide input to and support for adaptationnstrategies in various fields (e.g. forestry, agriculture, hydrology). Both GCMs (global climate models)nand RCMs (regional climate models) were analyzed within the project. In this contribution we focus on thenlatest RCMs available from the Euro-CORDEX project based on 0.11 degree resolutions and covering thenEuropean area. For these model experiments, the following greenhouse gas emission scenarios have beennused: RCP 4.5 (milder scenario) and RCP 8.5 (pessimistic scenario). Since the climate models suffer fromnpotentially severe biases, it has been necessary to statistically correct their outputs. For this purpose, a suitablenreference dataset has been prepared, based on quality controlled, homogenized and gap-filled stationntime series. The correction method applied was based on variable corrections using individual percentiles.nFrom the corrected model outputs, various indices were calculated, describing the future climate both inntime and space. The outputs can serve as a basis for subsequent impact studies.

Druh

C - Kapitola v odborné knize

CEP obor

DG - Vědy o atmosféře, meteorologie

OECD FORD obor

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Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/LO1415" target="_blank" >LO1415: CzechGlobe 2020 - Rozvoj Centra pro studium dopadů globální změny klimatu</a><br>

Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2016

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název knihy nebo sborníku

Global Change & Ecosystems

ISBN

978-80-87902-17-2

Počet stran výsledku

11

Strana od-do

38-48

Počet stran knihy

160

Název nakladatele

Ústav výzkumu globální změny AV ČR, v. v

Místo vydání

Brno

Kód UT WoS kapitoly

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