Adaptation pathways and cost assessment of extreme events for Prague city

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F86652079%3A_____%2F16%3A00470827" target="_blank" >RIV/86652079:_____/16:00470827 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

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DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Adaptation pathways and cost assessment of extreme events for Prague city

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

We developed an assessment of adaptation pathways for Prague city, based on retrospective cost benefitnassessments of the flood control system and prospective adaptation pathways for an urban heat island.nAfter extensive flooding in 2002, Prague has been investing in a flood control system which should preventnfuture flooding leading to economic and cultural damage. We found that the net present value and cost ofnthe flood control system is 37 million Euros. The flood control system has provided considerable benefitsnto Prague citizens. However, future climate scenarios predict a change in the number and intensity of extremenevents such as increasing the risk of flash flooding of rivers and extreme heat waves. Therefore, for anselected case study, we are developing adaptation pathways’ analyses for lessening the effect of the urbannheat island and heat waves. Using RCP scenarios, we have found several adaptation tipping points wherenthe adaptation policy should move to different pathways. The urban heat island potential is significantlynincreasing under RCP 8.5 and adaptation measures are sufficient only until the year 2033. Our results supportnthe incorporation of scientific approaches into decision-making in the areas of climate change adaptationnand disaster risk reduction.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Adaptation pathways and cost assessment of extreme events for Prague city

Popis výsledku anglicky

We developed an assessment of adaptation pathways for Prague city, based on retrospective cost benefitnassessments of the flood control system and prospective adaptation pathways for an urban heat island.nAfter extensive flooding in 2002, Prague has been investing in a flood control system which should preventnfuture flooding leading to economic and cultural damage. We found that the net present value and cost ofnthe flood control system is 37 million Euros. The flood control system has provided considerable benefitsnto Prague citizens. However, future climate scenarios predict a change in the number and intensity of extremenevents such as increasing the risk of flash flooding of rivers and extreme heat waves. Therefore, for anselected case study, we are developing adaptation pathways’ analyses for lessening the effect of the urbannheat island and heat waves. Using RCP scenarios, we have found several adaptation tipping points wherenthe adaptation policy should move to different pathways. The urban heat island potential is significantlynincreasing under RCP 8.5 and adaptation measures are sufficient only until the year 2033. Our results supportnthe incorporation of scientific approaches into decision-making in the areas of climate change adaptationnand disaster risk reduction.

Druh

C - Kapitola v odborné knize

CEP obor

EH - Ekologie – společenstva

OECD FORD obor

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Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/LO1415" target="_blank" >LO1415: CzechGlobe 2020 - Rozvoj Centra pro studium dopadů globální změny klimatu</a><br>

Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2016

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název knihy nebo sborníku

Global Change & Ecosystems

ISBN

978-80-87902-17-2

Počet stran výsledku

14

Strana od-do

133-146

Počet stran knihy

160

Název nakladatele

Ústav výzkumu globální změny AV ČR, v. v

Místo vydání

Brno

Kód UT WoS kapitoly

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