Risk and reward of the global truffle sector under predicted climate change

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F86652079%3A_____%2F22%3A00553575" target="_blank" >RIV/86652079:_____/22:00553575 - isvavai.cz</a>

Nalezeny alternativní kódy

RIV/62156489:43210/22:43921115 RIV/00216224:14310/22:00125292

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac47c4" target="_blank" >https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac47c4</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac47c4" target="_blank" >10.1088/1748-9326/ac47c4</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Risk and reward of the global truffle sector under predicted climate change

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Climate change has been described as the main threat for the cultivation and growth of truffles, but hydroclimate variability and model uncertainty challenge regional projections and adaptation strategies of the emerging sector. Here, we conduct a literature review to define the main Perigord truffle growing regions around the world and use 20 global climate models to assess the impact of future trends and extremes in temperature, precipitation and soil moisture on truffle production rates and price levels in all cultivation regions in the Americas, Europe, South Africa, and Australasia. Climate model simulations project 2.3 million km(2) of suitable land for truffle growth will experience 50% faster aridification than the rests of the global land surface, with significantly more heat waves between 2070 and 2099 CE. Overall, truffle production rates will decrease by similar to 15%, while associated price levels will increase by similar to 36%. At the same time, a predicted increase in summer precipitation and less intense warming over Australasia will likely alleviate water scarcity and support higher yields of more affordable truffles. Our findings are relevant for truffle farmers and businesses to adapt their irrigation systems and management strategies to future climate change.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Risk and reward of the global truffle sector under predicted climate change

Popis výsledku anglicky

Climate change has been described as the main threat for the cultivation and growth of truffles, but hydroclimate variability and model uncertainty challenge regional projections and adaptation strategies of the emerging sector. Here, we conduct a literature review to define the main Perigord truffle growing regions around the world and use 20 global climate models to assess the impact of future trends and extremes in temperature, precipitation and soil moisture on truffle production rates and price levels in all cultivation regions in the Americas, Europe, South Africa, and Australasia. Climate model simulations project 2.3 million km(2) of suitable land for truffle growth will experience 50% faster aridification than the rests of the global land surface, with significantly more heat waves between 2070 and 2099 CE. Overall, truffle production rates will decrease by similar to 15%, while associated price levels will increase by similar to 36%. At the same time, a predicted increase in summer precipitation and less intense warming over Australasia will likely alleviate water scarcity and support higher yields of more affordable truffles. Our findings are relevant for truffle farmers and businesses to adapt their irrigation systems and management strategies to future climate change.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

10510 - Climatic research

Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/EF16_019%2F0000797" target="_blank" >EF16_019/0000797: SustES - Adaptační strategie pro udržitelnost ekosystémových služeb a potravinové bezpečnosti v nepříznivých přírodních podmínkách</a><br>

Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2022

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Environmental Research Letters

ISSN

1748-9326

e-ISSN

1748-9326

Svazek periodika

17

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

2

Stát vydavatele periodika

GB - Spojené království Velké Británie a Severního Irska

Počet stran výsledku

12

Strana od-do

024001

Kód UT WoS článku

000744459800001

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85123873605