FOOD SECURITY IN CRISIS SITUATIONS: FOCUS ON BEEF, PORK AND POULTRY MEAT

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00027251%3A_____%2F18%3AN0000008" target="_blank" >RIV/00027251:_____/18:N0000008 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://ap.pef.czu.cz/en/r-12193-conference-proceedings" target="_blank" >https://ap.pef.czu.cz/en/r-12193-conference-proceedings</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

FOOD SECURITY IN CRISIS SITUATIONS: FOCUS ON BEEF, PORK AND POULTRY MEAT

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Food security lies in effort to provide to population such resources of agricultural raw materials with transformation to food, that consumption habits are maintained. The aim of the paper is to assess the height of domestic production to preserve current consumption structure of beef, pork and poultry in the Czech Republic (CR) and not to overcome production possibilities in crisis if imports, exports or both are limited or impossible. The development is simulated by optimization model AGRO-2014 that links agriculture, food industry, trade and food consumption. Five scenarios were calculated. In case of a crisis where imports are eliminated, and exports kept at the current level (scenario 1), the level of domestic resources would be exceeded. The need for areas for growing not only feed crops exceeds the land in the CR by 66%. Therefore, scenario 2 – crisis when import and export are impossible – was considered. Even in this case, the Czech area would not be sufficient. In scenario 3, imports are limited to 20% of current levels and the country does not export. Then the land area would be sufficient. It would require less sucker cows, but significantly more pigs and poultry. Scenario 4 (where imports are possible from 50% while export is on 50% level) needs slightly more cattle but pork could be partly imported. The increase in land claims would exceed available by 20%. Optimal use of land would occur in scenario 5 with imports on 50% level and exports reduced to 18%. It is problematic to increase the export of agricultural commodities while reducing imports. In the case of pork, it would be necessary to increase the number of pigs to cover domestic consumption and exports to the extent that it would be impossible to provide enough grain feed due to lack of available land.

Název v anglickém jazyce

FOOD SECURITY IN CRISIS SITUATIONS: FOCUS ON BEEF, PORK AND POULTRY MEAT

Popis výsledku anglicky

Food security lies in effort to provide to population such resources of agricultural raw materials with transformation to food, that consumption habits are maintained. The aim of the paper is to assess the height of domestic production to preserve current consumption structure of beef, pork and poultry in the Czech Republic (CR) and not to overcome production possibilities in crisis if imports, exports or both are limited or impossible. The development is simulated by optimization model AGRO-2014 that links agriculture, food industry, trade and food consumption. Five scenarios were calculated. In case of a crisis where imports are eliminated, and exports kept at the current level (scenario 1), the level of domestic resources would be exceeded. The need for areas for growing not only feed crops exceeds the land in the CR by 66%. Therefore, scenario 2 – crisis when import and export are impossible – was considered. Even in this case, the Czech area would not be sufficient. In scenario 3, imports are limited to 20% of current levels and the country does not export. Then the land area would be sufficient. It would require less sucker cows, but significantly more pigs and poultry. Scenario 4 (where imports are possible from 50% while export is on 50% level) needs slightly more cattle but pork could be partly imported. The increase in land claims would exceed available by 20%. Optimal use of land would occur in scenario 5 with imports on 50% level and exports reduced to 18%. It is problematic to increase the export of agricultural commodities while reducing imports. In the case of pork, it would be necessary to increase the number of pigs to cover domestic consumption and exports to the extent that it would be impossible to provide enough grain feed due to lack of available land.

Druh

D - Stať ve sborníku

CEP obor

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OECD FORD obor

50204 - Business and management

Projekt

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Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2018

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název statě ve sborníku

27th International Scientific Conference Agrarian Perspectives XXVII. Food Safety – Food Security

ISBN

978-80-213-2890-7

ISSN

2464-4781

e-ISSN

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Počet stran výsledku

7

Strana od-do

44-50

Název nakladatele

Česká zemědělská univerzita, Provozně-ekonomická fakulta

Místo vydání

Praha

Místo konání akce

Praha

Datum konání akce

19. 9. 2018

Typ akce podle státní příslušnosti

WRD - Celosvětová akce

Kód UT WoS článku

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