MORTALITY RATE ESTIMATE FOR THE OLD AGE POPULATION BY BOOTSTRAP METHOD

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

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Výsledek na webu

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DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

MORTALITY RATE ESTIMATE FOR THE OLD AGE POPULATION BY BOOTSTRAP METHOD

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

One of the factors of the economic and financial prosperity of the country is the age structure of the population. The bases for the age population structure calculation are the statistical tables. The indicator specific mortality rate is usually calculated on the base of the known data concerning the death people and living people. The Makeham - Gompertz function is one of the commonly used modesl for the mortality modelling of the population. Parameters of this function are mostly estimated for example by the method of the partial sums. This method however fails at very high old age group mortality estimation. The big problem is lack of data at these age groups for the statistical processing by the classical methods. An alternative approach of the solution of this problem is presented in the article, namely application of the bootstrap method. Its principle is the determination of residuals, creating of their bootstrap samples and subsequently calculation of a model that is used to e

Název v anglickém jazyce

MORTALITY RATE ESTIMATE FOR THE OLD AGE POPULATION BY BOOTSTRAP METHOD

Popis výsledku anglicky

One of the factors of the economic and financial prosperity of the country is the age structure of the population. The bases for the age population structure calculation are the statistical tables. The indicator specific mortality rate is usually calculated on the base of the known data concerning the death people and living people. The Makeham - Gompertz function is one of the commonly used modesl for the mortality modelling of the population. Parameters of this function are mostly estimated for example by the method of the partial sums. This method however fails at very high old age group mortality estimation. The big problem is lack of data at these age groups for the statistical processing by the classical methods. An alternative approach of the solution of this problem is presented in the article, namely application of the bootstrap method. Its principle is the determination of residuals, creating of their bootstrap samples and subsequently calculation of a model that is used to e

Druh

D - Stať ve sborníku

CEP obor

BB - Aplikovaná statistika, operační výzkum

OECD FORD obor

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Projekt

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Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2014

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název statě ve sborníku

SGEM Conference on Political Sciences, Law, Finance, Economics and Tourism, Conference proceedings, Volume IV, "Economics and Tourism"

ISBN

978-619-7105-28-5

ISSN

2367-5659

e-ISSN

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Počet stran výsledku

6

Strana od-do

481-486

Název nakladatele

SGEM

Místo vydání

Sofia

Místo konání akce

Albena

Datum konání akce

2. 9. 2014

Typ akce podle státní příslušnosti

WRD - Celosvětová akce

Kód UT WoS článku

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