Pathways to the East, Pathways to the West: Four Scenarios of Eastern Europe in 2035

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F48546054%3A_____%2F25%3AN0000042" target="_blank" >RIV/48546054:_____/25:N0000042 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://re-engaging.eu/pathways-to-the-east-pathways-to-the-west-four-scenarios-of-eastern-europe-in-2035/" target="_blank" >https://re-engaging.eu/pathways-to-the-east-pathways-to-the-west-four-scenarios-of-eastern-europe-in-2035/</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Pathways to the East, Pathways to the West: Four Scenarios of Eastern Europe in 2035

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

This report prepared within the project Horizon No. 101132314 Re-Engaging with Neighbours in a State of War and Geopolitical Tensions (RE-ENGAGE) examines geopolitical futures of Eastern Europe through four exploratory scenarios. The analysis centers on the dominant political cleavage shaping the region: the struggle between pro-democracy movements and various forms of authoritarianism, intertwined with geopolitical alignments between Russia/China and the West, conceived as the competition between open and closed societies at both domestic and international levels. The four ideal-type scenarios— Going West, Going East, Wavering, and Resisting — emerge from this juxtaposition of internal regime contestation against external power struggles and outline a potential geopolitical environment that will take shape over the next decade. In conclusion, the paper discusses the implications of these different trajectories for EU policies in the region.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Pathways to the East, Pathways to the West: Four Scenarios of Eastern Europe in 2035

Popis výsledku anglicky

This report prepared within the project Horizon No. 101132314 Re-Engaging with Neighbours in a State of War and Geopolitical Tensions (RE-ENGAGE) examines geopolitical futures of Eastern Europe through four exploratory scenarios. The analysis centers on the dominant political cleavage shaping the region: the struggle between pro-democracy movements and various forms of authoritarianism, intertwined with geopolitical alignments between Russia/China and the West, conceived as the competition between open and closed societies at both domestic and international levels. The four ideal-type scenarios— Going West, Going East, Wavering, and Resisting — emerge from this juxtaposition of internal regime contestation against external power struggles and outline a potential geopolitical environment that will take shape over the next decade. In conclusion, the paper discusses the implications of these different trajectories for EU policies in the region.

Druh

V_souhrn - Souhrnná výzkumná zpráva

CEP obor

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OECD FORD obor

50601 - Political science

Projekt

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Návaznosti

R - Projekt Ramcoveho programu EK

Rok uplatnění

2025

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Počet stran výsledku

34

Místo vydání

neuveden

Název nakladatele resp. objednatele

European Commission

Verze

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