The future distribution of wetland birds breeding in Europe validated against observed changes in distribution

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60460709%3A41330%2F22%3A94194" target="_blank" >RIV/60460709:41330/22:94194 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac4ebe" target="_blank" >https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac4ebe</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac4ebe" target="_blank" >10.1088/1748-9326/ac4ebe</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

The future distribution of wetland birds breeding in Europe validated against observed changes in distribution

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Wetland bird species have been declining in population size worldwide as climate warming and land-use change affect their suitable habitats. We used species distribution models (SDMs) to predict changes in range dynamics for 64 non-passerine wetland birds breeding in Europe, including range size, position of centroid, and margins. We fitted the SDMs with data collected for the first European Breeding Bird Atlas and climate and land-use data to predict distributional changes over a century (the 1970s-2070s). The predicted annual changes were then compared to observed annual changes in range size and range centroid over a time period of 30 years using data from the second European Breeding Bird Atlas. Our models successfully predicted ca. 75% of the 64 bird species to contract their breeding range in the future, while the remaining species (mostly southerly breeding species) were predicted to expand their breeding ranges northward. The northern margins of southerly species and southern margins of north

Název v anglickém jazyce

The future distribution of wetland birds breeding in Europe validated against observed changes in distribution

Popis výsledku anglicky

Wetland bird species have been declining in population size worldwide as climate warming and land-use change affect their suitable habitats. We used species distribution models (SDMs) to predict changes in range dynamics for 64 non-passerine wetland birds breeding in Europe, including range size, position of centroid, and margins. We fitted the SDMs with data collected for the first European Breeding Bird Atlas and climate and land-use data to predict distributional changes over a century (the 1970s-2070s). The predicted annual changes were then compared to observed annual changes in range size and range centroid over a time period of 30 years using data from the second European Breeding Bird Atlas. Our models successfully predicted ca. 75% of the 64 bird species to contract their breeding range in the future, while the remaining species (mostly southerly breeding species) were predicted to expand their breeding ranges northward. The northern margins of southerly species and southern margins of north

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

10511 - Environmental sciences (social aspects to be 5.7)

Projekt

—

Návaznosti

S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Rok uplatnění

2022

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Environmental Research Letters

ISSN

1748-9326

e-ISSN

1748-9326

Svazek periodika

17

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

2

Stát vydavatele periodika

CZ - Česká republika

Počet stran výsledku

12

Strana od-do

1-12

Kód UT WoS článku

000753626800001

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85125491548