Time-dependent risk modeling of accidental events and responses in process industries

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F61989100%3A27240%2F14%3A86089063" target="_blank" >RIV/61989100:27240/14:86089063 - isvavai.cz</a>

Nalezeny alternativní kódy

RIV/61989100:27740/14:86089063

Výsledek na webu

<a href="http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/09518320/125" target="_blank" >http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/09518320/125</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2013.05.010" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.ress.2013.05.010</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Time-dependent risk modeling of accidental events and responses in process industries

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Risk to safety of personnel in process industries is normally modeled in the application of Event Trees, where the risk is defined as a product of event frequency and its consequences. This method is steady state whilst the actual event is time dependent, comprising, for a gas release, as for example, the size of gas cloud being released, probabilities of ignition, fire or explosion, fatality, escalation to new releases and fire and/or explosion, and the probability of fatality, all varying with time. This Paper presents a method whereby the time-dependent events and the time-dependent probability of fatality are modeled by means of the direct Monte Carlo simulation method. Different accident scenarios are modeled and discussed resulting from Event Trees analysis. Using the simulation method the modeled scenarios change with relevant probabilities at defined times to configurations with appropriate probabilities of fatalities. Simple sensitivity analysis in dependency on most relevant

Název v anglickém jazyce

Time-dependent risk modeling of accidental events and responses in process industries

Popis výsledku anglicky

Risk to safety of personnel in process industries is normally modeled in the application of Event Trees, where the risk is defined as a product of event frequency and its consequences. This method is steady state whilst the actual event is time dependent, comprising, for a gas release, as for example, the size of gas cloud being released, probabilities of ignition, fire or explosion, fatality, escalation to new releases and fire and/or explosion, and the probability of fatality, all varying with time. This Paper presents a method whereby the time-dependent events and the time-dependent probability of fatality are modeled by means of the direct Monte Carlo simulation method. Different accident scenarios are modeled and discussed resulting from Event Trees analysis. Using the simulation method the modeled scenarios change with relevant probabilities at defined times to configurations with appropriate probabilities of fatalities. Simple sensitivity analysis in dependency on most relevant

Druh

J_x - Nezařazeno - Článek v odborném periodiku (Jimp, Jsc a Jost)

CEP obor

BB - Aplikovaná statistika, operační výzkum

OECD FORD obor

—

Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/ED1.1.00%2F02.0070" target="_blank" >ED1.1.00/02.0070: Centrum excelence IT4Innovations</a><br>

Návaznosti

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Rok uplatnění

2014

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Reliability engineering and system safety

ISSN

0951-8320

e-ISSN

—

Svazek periodika

125

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

2014

Stát vydavatele periodika

NL - Nizozemsko

Počet stran výsledku

13

Strana od-do

"54-66"

Kód UT WoS článku

000333790600007

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-84896313576