Do stock markets have any impact on real economic activity?

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F62156489%3A43110%2F16%3A43908523" target="_blank" >RIV/62156489:43110/16:43908523 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="http://acta.mendelu.cz/media/pdf/actaun_2016064010283.pdf" target="_blank" >http://acta.mendelu.cz/media/pdf/actaun_2016064010283.pdf</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.11118/actaun201664010283" target="_blank" >10.11118/actaun201664010283</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Do stock markets have any impact on real economic activity?

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

There is no doubt about the existence of connection between the stock markets and the real economic activity. Many researchers indicated that the stock markets causally affect the economic activity with the lag of three months. Contrary, the other group of researchers suggested, that these relationships are reversal, moreover some of them concluded that these relationships are reciprocal. The paper analyses the relationship between the stock markets and the economic activity in seven countries with the research objective to identify these relationships in relation of cause and effect. As the proxy of the stock markets are stock indices considered, while the economic activity is expressed by the Gross Domestic Product at constant prices. The correlation analysis and the Granger causality test applied on suggested vector autoregressive models are employed for the research in the paper. The paper concludes that stock markets may be considered as the significant predictor of the real economic activity with the lag of one quarter, however, there is no reciprocal links between them.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Do stock markets have any impact on real economic activity?

Popis výsledku anglicky

There is no doubt about the existence of connection between the stock markets and the real economic activity. Many researchers indicated that the stock markets causally affect the economic activity with the lag of three months. Contrary, the other group of researchers suggested, that these relationships are reversal, moreover some of them concluded that these relationships are reciprocal. The paper analyses the relationship between the stock markets and the economic activity in seven countries with the research objective to identify these relationships in relation of cause and effect. As the proxy of the stock markets are stock indices considered, while the economic activity is expressed by the Gross Domestic Product at constant prices. The correlation analysis and the Granger causality test applied on suggested vector autoregressive models are employed for the research in the paper. The paper concludes that stock markets may be considered as the significant predictor of the real economic activity with the lag of one quarter, however, there is no reciprocal links between them.

Druh

J_x - Nezařazeno - Článek v odborném periodiku (Jimp, Jsc a Jost)

CEP obor

AH - Ekonomie

OECD FORD obor

—

Projekt

—

Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2016

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis

ISSN

1211-8516

e-ISSN

—

Svazek periodika

64

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

1

Stát vydavatele periodika

CZ - Česká republika

Počet stran výsledku

8

Strana od-do

283-290

Kód UT WoS článku

—

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-84960145540