Forest herb species with similar European geographic ranges may respond differently to climate change

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F67985939%3A_____%2F23%3A00577086" target="_blank" >RIV/67985939:_____/23:00577086 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.167303" target="_blank" >https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.167303</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.167303" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.167303</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Forest herb species with similar European geographic ranges may respond differently to climate change

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Using MaxEnt species distribution models and future climate change scenarios we found that theprecipitation of the warmest quarter was the most important factor shaping ranges of common geophytes of the nemoral zone of Europe (Anemone nemorosa, Anemone ranunculoides, Convallaria majalis and Maianthemum bifolium). All species studied will experience more loss in the 2061–2080 period than in 2041–2060, and under more pessimistic scenarios. M. bifolium will experience the highest loss, followed by A. nemorosa, A. ranunculoides, and the smallest for C. majalis. A. ranunculoides will gain the most, while M. bifolium will have the smallest potential range expansion. Studied species may respond differently to climate change despite similar current distributions and climatic variables affecting their potential distribution. Even slight differences in climatic niches could reduce the overlap of future ranges compared to present. We expect that due to high dependence on the warmest quarter precipitation, summer droughts in the future may be particularly severe for species that prefer moist soils. The lack of adaptation to long-distance migration and limited availability of appropriate soils may limit their migration and lead to a decline in biodiversity and changes in European forests.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Forest herb species with similar European geographic ranges may respond differently to climate change

Popis výsledku anglicky

Using MaxEnt species distribution models and future climate change scenarios we found that theprecipitation of the warmest quarter was the most important factor shaping ranges of common geophytes of the nemoral zone of Europe (Anemone nemorosa, Anemone ranunculoides, Convallaria majalis and Maianthemum bifolium). All species studied will experience more loss in the 2061–2080 period than in 2041–2060, and under more pessimistic scenarios. M. bifolium will experience the highest loss, followed by A. nemorosa, A. ranunculoides, and the smallest for C. majalis. A. ranunculoides will gain the most, while M. bifolium will have the smallest potential range expansion. Studied species may respond differently to climate change despite similar current distributions and climatic variables affecting their potential distribution. Even slight differences in climatic niches could reduce the overlap of future ranges compared to present. We expect that due to high dependence on the warmest quarter precipitation, summer droughts in the future may be particularly severe for species that prefer moist soils. The lack of adaptation to long-distance migration and limited availability of appropriate soils may limit their migration and lead to a decline in biodiversity and changes in European forests.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

10611 - Plant sciences, botany

Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/GF23-05403K" target="_blank" >GF23-05403K: Dopady nepůvodních a původních druhů dřevin na vegetaci a půdu: dvě strany téže mince?</a><br>

Návaznosti

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Rok uplatnění

2023

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Science of the Total Environment

ISSN

0048-9697

e-ISSN

1879-1026

Svazek periodika

905

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

20 December

Stát vydavatele periodika

NL - Nizozemsko

Počet stran výsledku

14

Strana od-do

167303

Kód UT WoS článku

001158924700001

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85172220995