Passenger car sales projections: Measuring the accuracy of a sales forecasting model

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F70883521%3A28120%2F18%3A63519476" target="_blank" >RIV/70883521:28120/18:63519476 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

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DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Passenger car sales projections: Measuring the accuracy of a sales forecasting model

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

This paper considers the importance of the automobile industry in the global economic environment and sheds additional insight on the forecasting of passenger car sales. The study uses data from the automotive sectors in 38 countries, which account for more than 80% of passenger cars in use worldwide for testing the accuracy of a general framework that uses income and other countryspecific factors to forecast passenger cars sales for short- and mid-term periods. The results indicate that this framework can be applied to a wide range markets, but its performance is primarily influenced by income levels in these markets. Tested and discussed are not only income as the main predictor of sales, but also the effects of other factors such as vehicle ownership level on passenger car sales projections. Income is shown to play both a determining role and a moderating role that affects other variables&apos; impact on passenger car sales. © Ekonomicky ustav SAV a Prognosticky ustav CSPV SAV.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Passenger car sales projections: Measuring the accuracy of a sales forecasting model

Popis výsledku anglicky

This paper considers the importance of the automobile industry in the global economic environment and sheds additional insight on the forecasting of passenger car sales. The study uses data from the automotive sectors in 38 countries, which account for more than 80% of passenger cars in use worldwide for testing the accuracy of a general framework that uses income and other countryspecific factors to forecast passenger cars sales for short- and mid-term periods. The results indicate that this framework can be applied to a wide range markets, but its performance is primarily influenced by income levels in these markets. Tested and discussed are not only income as the main predictor of sales, but also the effects of other factors such as vehicle ownership level on passenger car sales projections. Income is shown to play both a determining role and a moderating role that affects other variables&apos; impact on passenger car sales. © Ekonomicky ustav SAV a Prognosticky ustav CSPV SAV.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

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OECD FORD obor

50204 - Business and management

Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/GA16-25536S" target="_blank" >GA16-25536S: Metodika tvorby modelu predikce sektorové a podnikové výkonnosti v makroekonomických souvislostech</a><br>

Návaznosti

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Rok uplatnění

2018

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Ekonomický časopis

ISSN

0013-3035

e-ISSN

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Svazek periodika

66

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

3

Stát vydavatele periodika

SK - Slovenská republika

Počet stran výsledku

23

Strana od-do

227-249

Kód UT WoS článku

000432411900001

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85044615684