Vulnerability of hop-yields due to compound drought and heat events over European key-hop regions

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F86652079%3A_____%2F21%3A00542134" target="_blank" >RIV/86652079:_____/21:00542134 - isvavai.cz</a>

Nalezeny alternativní kódy

RIV/68378289:_____/21:00532372 RIV/60460709:41210/21:83776

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.6836" target="_blank" >https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.6836</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.6836" target="_blank" >10.1002/joc.6836</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Vulnerability of hop-yields due to compound drought and heat events over European key-hop regions

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Compound climate events in which only one variable is extreme (e.g., either hot but no drought or extreme drought but not hot) and events in which both variables are extreme (e.g., drought and heat waves) may have different impacts on hop yields and alpha-bitter acid contents. Increasing occurrences of compound drought and heat events have led to increased income variability for beer production, and also affecting the major hop growers across Europe (EU). Our study includes the key hop-growing regions across the EU such as Hallertau (Germany), ustecko, zatecko and Trsicka (Czech Republic), Kent (Great Britain), Alsace (France), Lublin (Poland), Koroska (Slovenia) and Leon and Galicia (Spain). For these regions, we used the concurrent bivariate return period to model the joint probability distributions of daily precipitation and maximum temperature extremes and to provide risk assessments for concurrent drought-heat waves during the hop-growing season. We estimated the risk of lower yields from hop cones based on concurrent dry-cool, dry-hot, wet-cool and wet-hot modes over the target areas. The results show that longer and more severe drought and heat wave concurrences have increased more frequently than shorter concurrences. The degree of risk was estimated as being higher over the extensive hop-growing areas in the Czech Republic and Germany. A total of 22.4, 12.5 and 7.2% of EU areas with conditions suitable for commercial hop production fell into the moderate, high and very high yield loss risk categories, respectively. Integrating the damage between April and August indicated that more than 62.7% of total yield losses were due to high temperatures under dry conditions and that 21.5% of the yield losses were due to dry-cool conditions in the top hop-farming regions. The hotter European droughts caused decreases in noble aromatic hops by 29-68%. This indicates that hop yields are very vulnerable to these events due to a slower rate of adaptation of hops compared to field crops.

Název v anglickém jazyce

Vulnerability of hop-yields due to compound drought and heat events over European key-hop regions

Popis výsledku anglicky

Compound climate events in which only one variable is extreme (e.g., either hot but no drought or extreme drought but not hot) and events in which both variables are extreme (e.g., drought and heat waves) may have different impacts on hop yields and alpha-bitter acid contents. Increasing occurrences of compound drought and heat events have led to increased income variability for beer production, and also affecting the major hop growers across Europe (EU). Our study includes the key hop-growing regions across the EU such as Hallertau (Germany), ustecko, zatecko and Trsicka (Czech Republic), Kent (Great Britain), Alsace (France), Lublin (Poland), Koroska (Slovenia) and Leon and Galicia (Spain). For these regions, we used the concurrent bivariate return period to model the joint probability distributions of daily precipitation and maximum temperature extremes and to provide risk assessments for concurrent drought-heat waves during the hop-growing season. We estimated the risk of lower yields from hop cones based on concurrent dry-cool, dry-hot, wet-cool and wet-hot modes over the target areas. The results show that longer and more severe drought and heat wave concurrences have increased more frequently than shorter concurrences. The degree of risk was estimated as being higher over the extensive hop-growing areas in the Czech Republic and Germany. A total of 22.4, 12.5 and 7.2% of EU areas with conditions suitable for commercial hop production fell into the moderate, high and very high yield loss risk categories, respectively. Integrating the damage between April and August indicated that more than 62.7% of total yield losses were due to high temperatures under dry conditions and that 21.5% of the yield losses were due to dry-cool conditions in the top hop-farming regions. The hotter European droughts caused decreases in noble aromatic hops by 29-68%. This indicates that hop yields are very vulnerable to these events due to a slower rate of adaptation of hops compared to field crops.

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

10509 - Meteorology and atmospheric sciences

Projekt

Výsledek vznikl pri realizaci vícero projektů. Více informací v záložce Projekty.

Návaznosti

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Rok uplatnění

2021

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

International Journal of Climatology

ISSN

0899-8418

e-ISSN

1097-0088

Svazek periodika

41

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

JAN

Stát vydavatele periodika

GB - Spojené království Velké Británie a Severního Irska

Počet stran výsledku

23

Strana od-do

"E2136"-"E2158"

Kód UT WoS článku

000571347300001

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85082868901