Alternative futures for global biological invasions

Kód výsledku v IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60460709%3A41320%2F21%3A89567" target="_blank" >RIV/60460709:41320/21:89567 - isvavai.cz</a>

Výsledek na webu

<a href="https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11625-021-00963-6" target="_blank" >https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11625-021-00963-6</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11625-021-00963-6" target="_blank" >10.1007/s11625-021-00963-6</a>

Jazyk výsledku

angličtina

Název v původním jazyce

Alternative futures for global biological invasions

Popis výsledku v původním jazyce

Scenario analysis has emerged as a key tool to analyze complex and uncertain future socio-ecological developments. However, currently existing global scenarios (narratives of how the world may develop) have neglected biological invasions, a major threat to biodiversity and the economy. Here, we use a novel participatory process to develop a diverse set of global biological invasion scenarios spanning a wide range of plausible global futures through to 2050. We adapted the widely used two axes scenario analysis approach to develop four families of four scenarios each, resulting in 16 scenarios that were later clustered into four contrasting sets of futures. Our analysis highlights that socioeconomic developments and technological innovation have the potential to shape biological invasions, in addition to well-known drivers, such as climate and human land use change and global trade. Our scenarios partially align with the shared socioeconomic pathways created by the climate change research community. S

Název v anglickém jazyce

Alternative futures for global biological invasions

Popis výsledku anglicky

Scenario analysis has emerged as a key tool to analyze complex and uncertain future socio-ecological developments. However, currently existing global scenarios (narratives of how the world may develop) have neglected biological invasions, a major threat to biodiversity and the economy. Here, we use a novel participatory process to develop a diverse set of global biological invasion scenarios spanning a wide range of plausible global futures through to 2050. We adapted the widely used two axes scenario analysis approach to develop four families of four scenarios each, resulting in 16 scenarios that were later clustered into four contrasting sets of futures. Our analysis highlights that socioeconomic developments and technological innovation have the potential to shape biological invasions, in addition to well-known drivers, such as climate and human land use change and global trade. Our scenarios partially align with the shared socioeconomic pathways created by the climate change research community. S

Druh

J_imp - Článek v periodiku v databázi Web of Science

CEP obor

—

OECD FORD obor

10511 - Environmental sciences (social aspects to be 5.7)

Projekt

<a href="/cs/project/EF16_019%2F0000803" target="_blank" >EF16_019/0000803: Excelentní Výzkum jako podpora Adaptace lesnictví a dřevařství na globální změnu a 4. průmyslovou revoluci</a><br>

Návaznosti

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Rok uplatnění

2021

Kód důvěrnosti údajů

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Název periodika

Sustainability Science

ISSN

1862-4065

e-ISSN

—

Svazek periodika

16

Číslo periodika v rámci svazku

5

Stát vydavatele periodika

CZ - Česká republika

Počet stran výsledku

14

Strana od-do

1637-1650

Kód UT WoS článku

000648831800002

EID výsledku v databázi Scopus

2-s2.0-85105731320